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Serie A | Gameweek 22
Jan 28, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Inter logo

Fiorentina
0 - 1
Inter Milan


Ikone (45+2'), Mandragora (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Martinez (14')
Bastoni (42'), Sommer (75'), Pavard (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Napoli 3-0 Fiorentina
Thursday, January 18 at 7pm in Supercoppa Italiana
Last Game: Napoli 0-1 Inter Milan
Monday, January 22 at 7pm in Supercoppa Italiana

We said: Fiorentina 1-2 Inter Milan

Fiorentina's build-up play can be impressive, but too often they stumble in and around the opposition area. As Inter are a ruthless winning machine, the Nerazzurri can take advantage of any slip-ups by their hosts and post a fifth win on the spin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Inter Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.

Result
FiorentinaDrawInter Milan
34.66% (-0.249 -0.25) 25.53% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07) 39.82% (0.325 0.32)
Both teams to score 55.65% (0.203 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.74% (0.281 0.28)48.26% (-0.275 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.59% (0.258 0.26)70.41% (-0.251 -0.25)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.18% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)26.82% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.89% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)62.11% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.04% (0.295 0.3)23.96% (-0.289 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.81% (0.41999999999999 0.42)58.19% (-0.413 -0.41)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 34.66%
    Inter Milan 39.82%
    Draw 25.52%
FiorentinaDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 8.46% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-1 @ 7.95% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.57% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.49% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.49% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.44% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 34.66%
1-1 @ 12.08% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.42% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.68% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.52%
0-1 @ 9.18% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.63% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 6.56% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.11% (0.056 0.06)
0-3 @ 3.12% (0.044 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.71% (0.035 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.47% (0.032 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.12% (0.025 0.03)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 39.82%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Inter Milan

Fiorentina
16.9%
Draw
7.7%
Inter Milan
75.4%
142
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 3
Inter Milan
4-0
Fiorentina
Thuram (23'), Martinez (53', 73'), Calhanoglu (58' pen.)
Barella (45+6')

Ranieri (39'), Italiano (60+60')
May 24, 2023 8pm
Final
Fiorentina
1-2
Inter Milan
Gonzalez (3')
Martinez (54'), Gonzalez (90')
Martinez (29', 37')
Bastoni (53')
Apr 1, 2023 5pm
Oct 22, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Fiorentina
3-4
Inter Milan
Cabral (33' pen.), Ikone (60'), Jovic (90')
Barella (2'), Martinez (15', 73'), Mkhitaryan (90+5')
Mar 19, 2022 5pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan31264175156082
2AC Milan31215560342668
3Juventus32189545242163
4Bologna321611545252059
5Roma31167856352155
6Atalanta BCAtalanta301551055342150
7Lazio32154134135649
8Napoli31139948381048
9Torino32111293129245
10Fiorentina30127114235743
11Monza321110113441-743
12Genoa31911113438-438
13Lecce32711142748-2132
14CagliariCagliari3179153252-2030
15Udinese31416113047-1728
16Empoli3277182548-2328
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3169162842-1427
18FrosinoneFrosinone3168173861-2326
19SassuoloSassuolo3167183659-2325
20Salernitana3229212668-4215


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