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Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Milan logo

Lazio
0 - 1
AC Milan


Sarri (22'), Pellegrini (50'), Romagnoli (58'), Immobile (76'), Hysaj (90')
Pellegrini (57'), Marusic (90+4'), Guendouzi (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Okafor (88')
Florenzi (61'), Adli (70'), Gabbia (80'), Hernandez (84'), Leao (90+5'), Pulisic (90+6')

The Match

Match Report

Second-half substitute Noah Okafor scores an 88th-minute winner as AC Milan beat eight-man Lazio in Serie A on Friday night.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Lazio and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Lazio
Monday, February 26 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 1-1 Atalanta
Sunday, February 25 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 38.22%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
LazioDrawAC Milan
38.22%27.16%34.62%
Both teams to score 50.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.91% (0.0019999999999953 0)55.09% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.65% (0.0010000000000012 0)76.35% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.02% (0.0010000000000048 0)27.97% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.39%63.61%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.83%30.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.68% (0.00099999999999767 0)66.32% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 38.23%
    AC Milan 34.61%
    Draw 27.16%
LazioDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 10.75%
2-1 @ 8.21%
2-0 @ 6.85%
3-1 @ 3.48%
3-0 @ 2.91%
3-2 @ 2.09%
4-1 @ 1.11%
4-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 38.23%
1-1 @ 12.88%
0-0 @ 8.44%
2-2 @ 4.92%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27.16%
0-1 @ 10.11%
1-2 @ 7.72%
0-2 @ 6.06%
1-3 @ 3.08%
0-3 @ 2.42%
2-3 @ 1.96%
1-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 34.61%

How you voted: Lazio vs AC Milan

Lazio
17.6%
Draw
22.8%
AC Milan
59.6%
250
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 7
AC Milan
2-0
Lazio
Pulisic (60'), Okafor (88')
Leao (65'), Hernandez (83'), Maignan (86')

Marusic (51'), Romagnoli (64')
May 6, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 34
AC Milan
2-0
Lazio
Bennacer (17'), Hernandez (29')
Jan 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Lazio
4-0
AC Milan
Milinkovic-Savic (4'), Zaccagni (38'), Alberto (67' pen.), Anderson (75')
Apr 24, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Lazio
1-2
AC Milan
Immobile (4')
Strakosha (8'), Leiva (53'), Cataldi (74')
Giroud (50'), Tonali (90+2')
Tomori (26'), Kalulu (83'), Ibrahimovic (85'), Tonali (90+4')
Feb 9, 2022 8pm
Quarter-Finals
AC Milan
4-0
Lazio
Leao (24'), Giroud (41', 45+1'), Kessie (79')
Tonali (22')

Felipe (15')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan32265177176083
2AC Milan32216563372669
3Juventus32189545242163
4Bologna321611545252059
5Roma31167856352155
6Atalanta BCAtalanta301551055342150
7Napoli321310950401049
8Lazio32154134135649
9Torino32111293129245
10Fiorentina30127114235743
11Monza321110113441-743
12Genoa31911113438-438
13Lecce32711142748-2132
14CagliariCagliari32710153454-2031
15Udinese31416113047-1728
16Empoli3277182548-2328
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3169162842-1427
18FrosinoneFrosinone3269174063-2327
19SassuoloSassuolo3268183962-2326
20Salernitana3229212668-4215


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