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Serie A | Gameweek 21
Jan 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Dacia Arena
Milan logo

Udinese
2 - 3
AC Milan

Samardzic (42'), Thauvin (62')
Kamara (45+1'), Ebosele (52'), Thauvin (55'), Walace (65'), Lucca (71'), Ferreira (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Loftus-Cheek (31'), Jovic (83'), Okafor (90+3')
Hernandez (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Udinese and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-2 Udinese
Sunday, January 14 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 3-1 Roma
Sunday, January 14 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Udinese 1-2 AC Milan

A disappointing cup exit aside, Milan have been in fine form since Christmas, and their away record suggests they can score at least once in Saturday's late kickoff. The Rossoneri average two goals per game on the road in Serie A, while Udinese can be brittle at the back. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Udinese win was 1-0 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
UdineseDrawAC Milan
30.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 24.88% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 44.27% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.53% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.45% (0.010000000000005 0.01)46.55% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.17% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)68.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.62% (0.0039999999999907 0)28.38% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.88% (0.00099999999999767 0)64.12% (0.0010000000000048 0)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.92% (0.007000000000005 0.01)21.08% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.11% (0.012 0.01)53.89% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Udinese 30.85%
    AC Milan 44.27%
    Draw 24.88%
UdineseDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 7.53% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-1 @ 7.39% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 4.74% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.41%
3-0 @ 1.99%
4-1 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 30.85%
1-1 @ 11.73%
0-0 @ 5.98% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.75% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.88%
0-1 @ 9.31% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 9.13% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 7.25%
1-3 @ 4.74% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 3.76% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.99% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.85% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.47% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 44.27%

How you voted: Udinese vs AC Milan

Udinese
13.8%
Draw
11.7%
AC Milan
74.5%
94
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
AC Milan
0-1
Udinese

Krunic (18')
Pereyra (62' pen.)
Perez (54'), Kabasele (55')
Mar 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Udinese
3-1
AC Milan
Pereyra (9'), Beto (45+6'), Ehizibue (70')
Ibrahimovic (45+4' pen.)
Aug 13, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
AC Milan
4-2
Udinese
Hernandez (11' pen.), Rebic (15', 68'), Diaz (46')
Krunic (34')
Becao (2'), Masina (45+3')
Soppy (9'), Becao (34'), Perez (55'), Ebosele (90+1')
Feb 25, 2022 5.50pm
Gameweek 27
AC Milan
1-1
Udinese
Leao (29')
Rebic (68'), Leao (90+4')
Udogie (66')
Perez (17'), Becao (49'), Molina (73'), Success (77')
Dec 11, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Udinese
1-1
AC Milan
Beto (17')
Perez (25'), Deulofeu (55')
Success (90+5')
Ibrahimovic (90+2')
Castillejo (87'), Florenzi (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan32265177176083
2AC Milan32216563372669
3Juventus32189545242163
4Bologna321611545252059
5Roma31167856352155
6Atalanta BCAtalanta311561057362151
7Napoli321310950401049
8Lazio32154134135649
9Torino32111293129245
10Fiorentina31128114336744
11Monza321110113441-743
12Genoa32912113539-439
13Lecce32711142748-2132
14CagliariCagliari32710153454-2031
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona32610163044-1428
16Udinese31416113047-1728
17Empoli3277182548-2328
18FrosinoneFrosinone3269174063-2327
19SassuoloSassuolo3268183962-2326
20Salernitana3229212668-4215


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