MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 17:18:07| >> :600:437395:437395:
Lazio logo
Coppa Italia | Round of 16
Dec 5, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Napoli logo

Lazio
3 - 1
Napoli

Noslin (32', 41', 50')
Zaccagni (57'), Hysaj (80')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Simeone (36')
Marin (26'), Neres (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Coppa Italia clash between Lazio and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions
Last Game: Parma 3-1 Lazio
Sunday, December 1 at 2pm in Serie A

Napoli

All competitions
Coppa Italia
Last Game: Torino 0-1 Napoli
Sunday, December 1 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Lazio 2-1 Napoli

 Although Napoli have proven so hard to beat this season, they will have more than one eye on Sunday's game and could become Lazio's latest victims at the Olimpico. The hosts' fringe players are accustomed to playing most weeks, having been on Europa League duty since September, while Conte's second string rarely get a look-in. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
LazioDrawNapoli
44.14% (-0.249 -0.25) 26.87% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05) 28.99% (0.3 0.3)
Both teams to score 49.25% (0.317 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.47% (0.32400000000001 0.32)55.53% (-0.32599999999999 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.29% (0.265 0.27)76.71% (-0.26599999999999 -0.27)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75% (0.021000000000001 0.02)25% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.34% (0.027000000000001 0.03)59.66% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.67% (0.401 0.4)34.33% (-0.40199999999999 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.97% (0.43 0.43)71.03% (-0.431 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 44.14%
    Napoli 28.99%
    Draw 26.87%
LazioDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 11.89% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 8.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.25% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
3-1 @ 4.07% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 3.81% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.32% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 44.14%
1-1 @ 12.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.58% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-2 @ 4.71% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.87%
0-1 @ 9.18% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.8% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.91% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.42% (0.051 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.75% (0.035 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.68% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 28.99%

How you voted: Lazio vs Napoli

Lazio
42.1%
Draw
19.9%
Napoli
38.0%
171
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 22
Lazio
0-0
Napoli
Romagnoli (55'), Gila (69'), Cataldi (82')
Demme (49'), Skiri Oestigaard (90+5')
> Preview
Sep 2, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Napoli
1-2
Lazio
Zielinski (32')
Garcia (34')
Alberto (30'), Kamada (52')
Zaccagni (26'), Alberto (60'), Sarri (88')
> Preview
Mar 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Napoli
0-1
Lazio
Vecino (67')
> Match Report
Sep 3, 2022 7.45pm
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Lazio
1-2
Napoli
Zaccagni (4')
Milinkovic-Savic (67'), Anderson (70'), Cataldi (70'), Sarri (90'), Marusic (90+4')
Min-jae (38'), Kvaratskhelia (61')
Spalletti (81')
> Preview
Feb 27, 2022 7.50pm
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1-2
Napoli
Pedro (88')
Radu (71'), Immobile (79'), Zaccagni (82')
Insigne (62'), Fabian (90+4')
Rui (90+3'), Fabian (90+7')
> Preview
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