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Serie A | Gameweek 19
Jan 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
MAPEI Stadium - Citta del Tricolore
Fiorentina logo

Sassuolo
1 - 0
Fiorentina

Pinamonti (9')
Henrique (34'), Pinamonti (52'), Berardi (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Martinez (35'), Ikone (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Sassuolo and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 3-1 Sassuolo
Wednesday, January 3 at 5pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-0 Torino
Friday, December 29 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Sassuolo 1-2 Fiorentina

The distraction of a midweek Coppa Italia defeat will have done struggling Sassuolo no favours ahead of a tough test against in-form Fiorentina. As the Viola have had more than a week to prepare for their first fixture of 2024, expect them to edge out a home side that simply cannot stop conceding goals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-0 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
SassuoloDrawFiorentina
27.61% (0.131 0.13) 25.08% (0.02 0.02) 47.31% (-0.152 -0.15)
Both teams to score 53.85% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.87% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)49.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)71.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.99% (0.101 0.1)32.01% (-0.1 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.52% (0.114 0.11)68.47% (-0.114 -0.11)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.2% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)20.79% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.54% (-0.106 -0.11)53.45% (0.106 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Sassuolo 27.61%
    Fiorentina 47.31%
    Draw 25.07%
SassuoloDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 7.58% (0.022 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.78% (0.024 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.32% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.58% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.02% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.64% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 27.61%
1-1 @ 11.9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.66% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.07%
0-1 @ 10.45% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.35% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.21% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.9% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.3% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.79% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.92% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.69% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 47.31%

How you voted: Sassuolo vs Fiorentina

Sassuolo
9.2%
Draw
12.6%
Fiorentina
78.2%
87
Head to Head
Jun 2, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 38
Sassuolo
1-3
Fiorentina
Berardi (71' pen.)
Berardi (32'), Ruan (55'), Marchizza (90+2')
Ruan (81'), Rogerio (87')
Cabral (46'), Saponara (79'), Gonzalez (83')
Terzic (7'), Ranieri (32'), Kouame (45'), Cabral (70')
Jan 7, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 17
Fiorentina
2-1
Sassuolo
Saponara (48'), Gonzalez (90+1' pen.)
Berardi (57' pen.)
Feb 26, 2022 7.50pm
Gameweek 27
Sassuolo
2-1
Fiorentina
Traore (19'), Defrel (90+4')
Lopez (70')
Cabral (88')
Italiano (68'), Bonaventura (79')
Bonaventura (79')
Dec 19, 2021 11.30am
Gameweek 18
Fiorentina
2-2
Sassuolo
Vlahovic (51'), Torreira (61')
Biraghi (44'), Martinez (58'), Italiano (58')
Biraghi (68')
Scamacca (32'), Frattesi (37')
Toljan (27'), Chiriches (54'), Traore (56'), Scamacca (59'), Frattesi (71')
Apr 17, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 31
Sassuolo
3-1
Fiorentina
Berardi (59' pen., 62' pen.), Lopez (75')
Traore (13'), Lopez (45+1'), Muldur (70')
Bonaventura (31')
Castrovilli (15'), Milenkovic (28'), Biraghi (68'), Eysseric (81'), Pulgar (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan32265177176083
2AC Milan32216563372669
3Juventus331810547262164
4Bologna321611545252059
5Roma31167856352155
6Lazio33164134235752
7Atalanta BCAtalanta311561057362151
8Napoli331310105041949
9Torino32111293129245
10Fiorentina31128114336744
11Monza321110113441-743
12Genoa33912123540-539
13CagliariCagliari33711153656-2032
14Lecce32711142748-2132
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona33710163144-1331
16Empoli3387182648-2231
17Udinese32416123048-1828
18FrosinoneFrosinone3269174063-2327
19SassuoloSassuolo3268183962-2326
20Salernitana3229212668-4215


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