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Serie A | Gameweek 30
Mar 30, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Monza

Torino
1 - 0
Monza

Sanabria (69' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pessina (67'), Caldirola (76')
Pessina (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Torino and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Udinese 0-2 Torino
Saturday, March 16 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 1-0 Cagliari
Saturday, March 16 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Torino 1-1 Monza

Torino will hope to avoid conceding first against a Monza side that have secured 11 wins from 12 (one draw) after scoring the game's opening goal this term. Despite the Bull's propensity for clean sheets, matches between the clubs in Serie A have witnessed both sides scoring, and Saturday's game should follow the same pattern in a third consecutive 1-1 draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 45.72%. A win for Monza had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Torino in this match.

Result
TorinoDrawMonza
45.72% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05) 26.98% (-0.135 -0.13) 27.3% (0.182 0.18)
Both teams to score 47.9% (0.503 0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.24% (0.58000000000001 0.58)56.76% (-0.58300000000001 -0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.3% (0.464 0.46)77.7% (-0.465 -0.47)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.23% (0.23399999999999 0.23)24.77% (-0.237 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.66% (0.328 0.33)59.34% (-0.331 -0.33)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.68% (0.469 0.47)36.32% (-0.47 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.89% (0.469 0.47)73.11% (-0.47199999999999 -0.47)
Score Analysis
    Torino 45.71%
    Monza 27.3%
    Draw 26.97%
TorinoDrawMonza
1-0 @ 12.55% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-1 @ 8.87% (0.036 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.76% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.13% (0.045 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.08% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.049 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.44% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.42% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 45.71%
1-1 @ 12.71% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 9% (-0.203 -0.2)
2-2 @ 4.49% (0.075 0.08)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 26.97%
0-1 @ 9.11% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-2 @ 6.44% (0.064 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.61% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.17% (0.049 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.56% (0.025 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.52% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 27.3%

How you voted: Torino vs Monza

Torino
42.9%
Draw
35.7%
Monza
21.4%
28
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Monza
1-1
Torino
Colpani (65')
Kiriakopoulos (68'), Carboni (89')
Ilic (55')
Gineitis (67'), Radonjic (90+4'), Juric (90+4')
May 7, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 34
Torino
1-1
Monza
Sanabria (46')
Caprari (86')
Aug 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Monza
1-2
Torino
Mota (90+4')
Mari (61')
Miranchuk (43'), Sanabria (66')
Singo (19'), Adopo (36')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan37296287206793
2AC Milan37228773462774
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta362061067392866
6Roma371891064442063
7Lazio371861348381060
8Fiorentina361591255421354
9Torino371314103633353
10Napoli371313115548752
11Genoa371113134345-246
12Monza371112143949-1045
13Lecce37813163254-2237
14CagliariCagliari37812174065-2536
15FrosinoneFrosinone37811184468-2435
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
17Udinese37519133653-1734
18Empoli3789202753-2633
RSassuoloSassuolo3778224274-3229
RSalernitana36210242876-4816


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