MX23RW : Monday, September 16 18:51:32| >> :60:94:94:
Under-20s World Cup | Group Stage
May 27, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo

Brazil U20s
2 - 0
Nigeria U20s

Pedroso (43'), Marquinhos (45+2')
Arthur (72'), Renan (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Daga (19'), Ogwuche (46'), Lawal (79')
Coverage of the Under-20s World Cup Group Stage clash between Brazil Under-20s and Nigeria Under-20s.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Brazil U20s 6-0 Dominican Republic U20s
Wednesday, May 24 at 10pm in Under-20 World Cup
Last Game: Italy U20s 0-2 Nigeria U20s
Wednesday, May 24 at 7pm in Under-20 World Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil Under-20s win with a probability of 40.09%. A win for Nigeria Under-20s had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil Under-20s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.13%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Nigeria Under-20s win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brazil Under-20s would win this match.

Result
Brazil Under-20sDrawNigeria Under-20s
40.09% (1.24 1.24) 23.78% (-0.197 -0.2) 36.13% (-1.043 -1.04)
Both teams to score 62.21% (0.638 0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.14% (0.872 0.87)39.86% (-0.872 -0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.78% (0.898 0.9)62.22% (-0.899 -0.9)
Brazil Under-20s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.84% (0.962 0.96)20.16% (-0.961 -0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.56% (1.517 1.52)52.44% (-1.516 -1.52)
Nigeria Under-20s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.91% (-0.14 -0.14)22.09% (0.141 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.55% (-0.212 -0.21)55.45% (0.213 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Brazil Under-20s 40.09%
    Nigeria Under-20s 36.13%
    Draw 23.77%
Brazil Under-20sDrawNigeria Under-20s
2-1 @ 8.62% (0.125 0.13)
1-0 @ 7.13% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-0 @ 5.71% (0.107 0.11)
3-1 @ 4.6% (0.198 0.2)
3-2 @ 3.48% (0.136 0.14)
3-0 @ 3.05% (0.144 0.14)
4-1 @ 1.84% (0.131 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.39% (0.093 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.22% (0.092 0.09)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 40.09%
1-1 @ 10.76% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-2 @ 6.51% (0.067 0.07)
0-0 @ 4.45% (-0.183 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.75% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.77%
1-2 @ 8.13% (-0.157 -0.16)
0-1 @ 6.72% (-0.305 -0.31)
0-2 @ 5.08% (-0.253 -0.25)
1-3 @ 4.09% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-3 @ 3.28% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.56% (-0.139 -0.14)
1-4 @ 1.55% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.24% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 0.97% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 36.13%

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