Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 3
Mar 1, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Monumental Luis Troccoli
Cerro2 - 3Progreso
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro and Progreso.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cerro 1-1 Wanderers
Sunday, February 18 at 1pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, February 18 at 1pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Miramar Misiones 2-3 Progreso
Saturday, February 17 at 10.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, February 17 at 10.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Cerro had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.19%) and 1-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Cerro win was 1-0 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Progreso would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cerro | Draw | Progreso |
29.72% ( 0.03) | 28.55% ( 0) | 41.72% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 44.9% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
