World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Feb 1, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Bolivia2 - 3Chile
We said: Bolivia 1-1 Chile
Chile boast the stronger of the two squads, but La Paz is a notoriously tough place to visit, and, as a result, we cannot quite split the teams. With both desperate for a crucial victory to try and sneak into the top five, the two nations could cancel out each other's efforts on Tuesday and settle for a share of the spoils that benefits neither. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivia win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Chile had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolivia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Chile win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bolivia | Draw | Chile |
| 39.53% | 25.01% | 35.47% |
| Both teams to score 57.6% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
