Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cameroon win with a probability of 57.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 17.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cameroon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.96%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Mozambique win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cameroon would win this match.