Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SV Sandhausen win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 26.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a SV Sandhausen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Erzgebirge Aue win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.