Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auckland FC win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Western United had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auckland FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Auckland FC | Draw | Western United |
42.8% ( 1.93) | 24% ( 0.32) | 33.19% ( -2.25) |
Both teams to score 60.62% ( -1.79) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.38% ( -2.08) | 41.61% ( 2.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.98% ( -2.14) | 64.01% ( 2.13) |
Auckland FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.32% ( -0.02) | 19.67% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.33% ( -0.02) | 51.66% ( 0.02) |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.47% ( -2.22) | 24.52% ( 2.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.01% ( -3.22) | 58.98% ( 3.22) |
Score Analysis |
Auckland FC | Draw | Western United |
2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.26) 1-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.71) 2-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.58) 3-1 @ 4.86% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.31) 3-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.13% Total : 42.8% | 1-1 @ 11.02% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.44) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24% | 1-2 @ 7.75% ( -0.28) 0-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.39) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.31) 0-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.24) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.23) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.19) Other @ 2.76% Total : 33.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 28 |
2 | Auckland FC | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 27 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
4 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 21 |
6 | Macarthur | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 21 |
7 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 18 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 17 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 35 | -26 | 8 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 5 |
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