Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 36.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.06%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brisbane Roar would win this match.
Result | ||
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
36.33% ( 0.27) | 24.69% ( -0.05) | 38.98% ( -0.23) |
Both teams to score 58.85% ( 0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.77% ( 0.24) | 44.23% ( -0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.39% ( 0.23) | 66.6% ( -0.23) |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.03% ( 0.26) | 23.97% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.79% ( 0.37) | 58.21% ( -0.37) |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.41% ( -0.01) | 22.59% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.8% ( -0.01) | 56.2% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
2-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.03% Total : 36.33% | 1-1 @ 11.5% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.68% | 1-2 @ 8.56% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.06% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 4.24% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 38.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Auckland FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Macarthur | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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