Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 36.93% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.06%) and 0-1 (5.04%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.