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Adelaide United
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Western United
Macarthur
Australian A-League | Gameweek 14
Jan 28, 2023 at 6am UK
Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)
Western United

Macarthur
2 - 2
Western Utd

Millar (67'), Drew (81')
Baccus (45+1'), Uskok (45+3')
Baccus (49')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Wales (60'), Milanovic (89')
Doumbia (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Western United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Adelaide United 1-0 Macarthur
Friday, January 20 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Utd 1-0 Sydney FC
Saturday, January 21 at 6am in Australian A-League

We said: Macarthur 1-2 Western United

Unbeaten in their last three head-to-head encounters, we forecast Western United to continue that impressive run with three points at the Campbelltown Stadium on Saturday morning. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Western United had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.92%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
MacarthurDrawWestern United
41.24% (-0.115 -0.12) 24.28% (-0.124 -0.12) 34.48% (0.242 0.24)
Both teams to score 60% (0.519 0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.39% (0.649 0.65)42.61% (-0.647 -0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.99% (0.643 0.64)65.01% (-0.642 -0.64)
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.21% (0.22499999999999 0.22)20.8% (-0.223 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.55% (0.348 0.35)53.45% (-0.346 -0.35)
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.75% (0.441 0.44)24.25% (-0.44 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.39% (0.62 0.62)58.61% (-0.618 -0.62)
Score Analysis
    Macarthur 41.24%
    Western United 34.48%
    Draw 24.28%
MacarthurDrawWestern United
2-1 @ 8.81% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.92% (-0.174 -0.17)
2-0 @ 6.22% (-0.095 -0.09)
3-1 @ 4.61% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.27% (0.056 0.06)
3-0 @ 3.26% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.81% (0.021 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.031 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 41.24%
1-1 @ 11.22% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 6.24% (0.065 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.04% (-0.146 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.54% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.28%
1-2 @ 7.95% (0.03 0.03)
0-1 @ 7.15% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-2 @ 5.06% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.75% (0.062 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.95% (0.068 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.39% (0.023 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.33% (0.038 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.04% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 34.48%

How you voted: Macarthur vs Western Utd

Macarthur
36.8%
Draw
10.5%
Western United
52.6%
19
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2022 9.45am
Apr 19, 2022 8.05am
Western Utd
2-0
Macarthur
Pain (57'), Prijovic (90+4')
Kilkenny (37'), Pain (65'), Topor-Stanley (73')

Uskok (8'), Mariappa (30'), Giannou (76')
Mariappa (69')
Feb 1, 2022 8.45am
Macarthur
2-2
Western Utd
Rose (77'), Uskok (87')
M'Mombwa (90')
Milanovic (16'), Prijovic (74')
Milanovic (50'), Wales (82'), Lacroix (86')
May 31, 2021 10.05am
Western Utd
1-2
Macarthur
Guarrotxena (63')
Wales (39'), Hamill (42')
Susaeta (27'), Milligan (31')
Martis (9'), Ruhs (83')
Mar 20, 2021 6.05am
rhs 2.0
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