Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 52.83%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 26.68% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.5%) and 2-0 (5.84%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Macarthur |
52.83% (![]() | 20.49% (![]() | 26.68% (![]() |
Both teams to score 69.47% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.69% (![]() | 28.31% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
50.87% (![]() | 49.13% (![]() |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.8% (![]() | 11.2% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.28% (![]() | 35.72% (![]() |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.23% (![]() | 21.77% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.04% (![]() | 54.96% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Macarthur |
2-1 @ 8.91% (![]() 3-1 @ 6.5% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.84% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 5.34% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.96% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.26% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.56% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.71% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.33% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.56% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.38% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.19% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 3.27% Total : 52.83% | 1-1 @ 8.14% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.79% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.52% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.44% ( ![]() Other @ 0.6% Total : 20.49% | 1-2 @ 6.2% (![]() 0-1 @ 3.72% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.45% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.15% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.83% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.44% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.32% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.2% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 2.41% Total : 26.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 41 |
2 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 35 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 33 |
5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 33 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 29 |
8 | Macarthur | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 25 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 22 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 21 |
11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 19 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 45 | -32 | 11 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 8 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |