Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 52.83%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 26.68% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.5%) and 2-0 (5.84%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.