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Australian A-League | Gameweek 1
Oct 7, 2022 at 9.45am UK
AAMI Park
Western United

Melbourne City
2 - 1
Western Utd

Lacroix (38' og.), MacLaren (59')
Nabbout (30'), Bos (45+3'), O'Neill (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Milanovic (90+2')
Pain (30'), Troisi (42'), Risdon (75'), Lacroix (86')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Western United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Melbourne City 0-2 Western Utd
Saturday, May 28 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Melbourne City 0-2 Western Utd
Saturday, May 28 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 60.96%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Western United had a probability of 17.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Western United win it was 0-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne CityDrawWestern United
60.96% (4.919 4.92) 21.3% (-1.496 -1.5) 17.73% (-3.426 -3.43)
Both teams to score 53.18% (-0.962 -0.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.22% (1.602 1.6)43.78% (-1.604 -1.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.83% (1.547 1.55)66.17% (-1.552 -1.55)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.11% (2.129 2.13)13.88% (-2.132 -2.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.7% (4.052 4.05)41.3% (-4.053 -4.05)
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.75% (-2.712 -2.71)38.25% (2.709 2.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.99% (-2.703 -2.7)75.01% (2.7 2.7)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 60.95%
    Western United 17.73%
    Draw 21.3%
Melbourne CityDrawWestern United
1-0 @ 10.48% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 10.35% (0.803 0.8)
2-1 @ 9.95% (0.071 0.07)
3-0 @ 6.81% (0.984 0.98)
3-1 @ 6.55% (0.517 0.52)
4-0 @ 3.36% (0.694 0.69)
4-1 @ 3.23% (0.471 0.47)
3-2 @ 3.15% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.55% (0.125 0.13)
5-0 @ 1.33% (0.35 0.35)
5-1 @ 1.28% (0.264 0.26)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 60.95%
1-1 @ 10.07% (-0.71 -0.71)
0-0 @ 5.31% (-0.382 -0.38)
2-2 @ 4.78% (-0.329 -0.33)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.3%
0-1 @ 5.1% (-0.785 -0.79)
1-2 @ 4.84% (-0.737 -0.74)
0-2 @ 2.45% (-0.594 -0.59)
1-3 @ 1.55% (-0.373 -0.37)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.231 -0.23)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 17.73%

How you voted: Melbourne City vs Western Utd

Melbourne City
57.1%
Draw
0.0%
Western United
42.9%
7
Head to Head
May 28, 2022 10.45am
Mar 12, 2022 6.05am
Western Utd
2-2
Melbourne City
Lacroix (16'), Krhin (30')
Imai (35'), Prijovic (42'), Lacroix (76')
Metcalfe (42'), MacLaren (65')
Jan 29, 2022 8.45am
Dec 4, 2021 8.45am
Apr 1, 2021 7.35am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
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