Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 60.96%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Western United had a probability of 17.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Western United win it was 0-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
Result | ||
Melbourne City | Draw | Western United |
60.96% (![]() | 21.3% (![]() | 17.73% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.18% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.22% (![]() | 43.78% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.83% (![]() | 66.17% (![]() |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.11% (![]() | 13.88% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.7% (![]() | 41.3% (![]() |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.75% (![]() | 38.25% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.99% (![]() | 75.01% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne City | Draw | Western United |
1-0 @ 10.48% (![]() 2-0 @ 10.35% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.95% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.81% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.55% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.36% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.23% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.15% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.55% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.33% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.28% ( ![]() Other @ 2.92% Total : 60.95% | 1-1 @ 10.07% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.31% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.78% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.3% | 0-1 @ 5.1% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.84% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.45% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.55% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.53% ( ![]() Other @ 2.25% Total : 17.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 41 |
2 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 35 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 33 |
5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 33 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 29 |
8 | Macarthur | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 25 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 22 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 21 |
11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 19 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 45 | -32 | 11 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 8 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |