Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 60.96%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Western United had a probability of 17.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Western United win it was 0-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
Result | ||
Melbourne City | Draw | Western United |
60.96% ( 4.92) | 21.3% ( -1.5) | 17.73% ( -3.43) |
Both teams to score 53.18% ( -0.96) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.22% ( 1.6) | 43.78% ( -1.6) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.83% ( 1.55) | 66.17% ( -1.55) |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.11% ( 2.13) | 13.88% ( -2.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.7% ( 4.05) | 41.3% ( -4.05) |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.75% ( -2.71) | 38.25% ( 2.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.99% ( -2.7) | 75.01% ( 2.7) |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne City | Draw | Western United |
1-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.8) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.98) 3-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.52) 4-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.69) 4-1 @ 3.23% ( 0.47) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.13) 5-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.35) 5-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.26) Other @ 2.92% Total : 60.95% | 1-1 @ 10.07% ( -0.71) 0-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.38) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.33) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.3% | 0-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.79) 1-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.74) 0-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.59) 1-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.37) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.23) Other @ 2.25% Total : 17.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 18 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 17 |
4 | Macarthur | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 15 |
5 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 14 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 13 |
9 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 10 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 6 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 27 | -22 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 2 |
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