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Adelaide United
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Macarthur
Australian A-League | Gameweek 19
Mar 1, 2024 at 9.28am UK
Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)
Melbourne City

Macarthur
2 - 0
Melbourne City

Oliveira (47', 57')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Nabbout (89')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Melbourne City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle Jets 2-2 Macarthur
Sunday, February 25 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 1-1 Melbourne City
Saturday, February 24 at 6.40am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Melbourne City had a probability of 37.96% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.01%) and 3-2 (4.61%). The likeliest Melbourne City win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Macarthur would win this match.

Result
MacarthurDrawMelbourne City
40.59% (0.277 0.28) 21.45% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 37.96% (-0.27099999999999 -0.27)
Both teams to score 71.61% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.22% (0.028000000000006 0.03)27.77% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.54% (0.037999999999997 0.04)48.46% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.13% (0.11399999999999 0.11)14.87% (-0.12 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.79% (0.22199999999999 0.22)43.2% (-0.226 -0.23)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.12% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)15.88% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.89% (-0.175 -0.18)45.1% (0.17 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Macarthur 40.59%
    Melbourne City 37.96%
    Draw 21.45%
MacarthurDrawMelbourne City
2-1 @ 7.89% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.01% (0.036 0.04)
3-2 @ 4.61% (0.019 0.02)
1-0 @ 4.5% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.29% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.73% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.39% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.2% (0.018 0.02)
4-3 @ 1.35% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.3% (0.019 0.02)
5-1 @ 0.91% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 40.59%
1-1 @ 8.28% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-2 @ 7.26% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 2.83% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-0 @ 2.36% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 21.45%
1-2 @ 7.62% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.67% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-3 @ 4.45% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.34% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.45% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.15% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-4 @ 2.05% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-4 @ 1.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.13% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 37.96%

Head to Head
Nov 12, 2023 4am
Gameweek 4
Melbourne City
3-3
Macarthur
MacLaren (58', 90'), Antonis (90+3' pen.)
Natel (15'), Sakhi (71')
Davila (61'), Hollman (83'), Millar (88')
Nicolaou (64'), Borges Rodrigues (64')
Mar 19, 2023 8am
Feb 4, 2023 6am
Mar 26, 2022 8.45am
Gameweek 20
Macarthur
0-1
Melbourne City

Giannou (41'), Davila (84')
MacLaren (64')
Bos (31'), Stokes (38'), Good (45+1'), O'Neill (89'), Gomulka (90+1')
Mar 9, 2022 8.05am
Gameweek 9
Melbourne City
3-1
Macarthur
Mariappa (28' og.), Berenguer (44'), MacLaren (54' pen.)
Jenkinson (23')
Giannou (15')
Mariappa (36'), Susnjar (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Auckland FC19125237181941
2Western UnitedWestern Utd20105540281235
3Melbourne CityMelbourne City19104527171034
4Melbourne VictoryVictory209653123833
5Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United199643935433
6Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney1994643321131
7Sydney FCSydney FC1985641301129
8Macarthur207493330325
9Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets186482728-122
10Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast204972137-1621
11Wellington PhoenixWellington1954101830-1219
12Perth GloryPerth Glory2025131345-3211
13Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar1815122037-178


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