Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 47.99%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.23%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.