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Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Newcastle Jets
Australian A-League | Gameweek 16
Feb 12, 2023 at 4am UK
McDonald Jones Stadium
Melbourne Victory

Newcastle Jets
2 - 1
Victory

Mikeltadze (37' pen.), Grozos (58')
Grozos (31'), Ingham (47'), Sotirio (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Melbourne Victory, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Perth Glory 2-2 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, February 4 at 11.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 3-1 Wellington
Friday, February 3 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

We said: Newcastle Jets 1-1 Melbourne Victory

Newcastle Jets will be the firm favourites in the eyes of many, but they have struggled to get over the line to secure victories as of late. Considering the fact that the visitors head into the game with momentum behind them, they could push the hosts to a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 42.64%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.92%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle JetsDrawMelbourne Victory
32.49% (-0.254 -0.25) 24.87% (-0.373 -0.37) 42.64% (0.633 0.63)
Both teams to score 57.3% (1.183 1.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.14% (1.582 1.58)45.86% (-1.577 -1.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.83% (1.485 1.49)68.17% (-1.479 -1.48)
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.02% (0.61 0.61)26.98% (-0.605 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.68% (0.791 0.79)62.33% (-0.785 -0.78)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.48% (0.976 0.98)21.53% (-0.971 -0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.41% (1.475 1.48)54.59% (-1.47 -1.47)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle Jets 32.49%
    Melbourne Victory 42.64%
    Draw 24.86%
Newcastle JetsDrawMelbourne Victory
2-1 @ 7.66% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.61% (-0.384 -0.38)
2-0 @ 4.98% (-0.163 -0.16)
3-1 @ 3.34% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.109 0.11)
3-0 @ 2.18% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 32.49%
1-1 @ 11.68% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-2 @ 5.88% (0.151 0.15)
0-0 @ 5.81% (-0.399 -0.4)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.092 0.09)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.86%
1-2 @ 8.97% (0.081 0.08)
0-1 @ 8.92% (-0.338 -0.34)
0-2 @ 6.85% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
1-3 @ 4.6% (0.173 0.17)
0-3 @ 3.51% (0.074 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.01% (0.163 0.16)
1-4 @ 1.76% (0.115 0.12)
0-4 @ 1.35% (0.067 0.07)
2-4 @ 1.16% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 42.64%

How you voted: Newcastle Jets vs Victory

Newcastle Jets
50.0%
Draw
40.0%
Melbourne Victory
10.0%
10
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2022 8.45am
Apr 16, 2022 10.45am
Newcastle Jets
1-2
Victory
Siatravanis (65')
Elsey (41')
D'Agostino (6'), Margiotta (90+3')
Folami (58')
Feb 12, 2022 8.45am
Victory
1-2
Newcastle Jets
Brimmer (45+2')
Brillante (28'), Velupillay (86')
Brillante (48')
Yuel (57'), Mikeltadze (70' pen.)
Elsey (5'), Mikeltadze (21')
Apr 10, 2021 6.05am
Feb 21, 2021 5.05am
rhs 2.0
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