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Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 26
Apr 27, 2024 at 10.45am UK
Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
Western Sydney Wanderers

Victory
3 - 4
Western Sydney

Machach (4'), Arzani (15', 55')
Ikonomidis (7'), Chapman (17')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Brook (20'), Milanovic (35'), Hammond (73'), Priestman (87')
Priestman (19'), Clisby (45+3')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Western Sydney Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Victory 0-0 Brisbane Roar
Saturday, April 20 at 8.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Sydney 1-2 Melbourne City
Saturday, April 20 at 6.30am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 52.56%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 26.05% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.74%) and 1-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawWestern Sydney Wanderers
52.56% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05) 21.39% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 26.05% (0.035 0.04)
Both teams to score 65.32% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.59% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)33.41% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.8% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)55.19% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.99% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)13% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.46% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)39.53% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.08% (0.0019999999999953 0)24.91% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)59.54% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 52.56%
    Western Sydney Wanderers 26.05%
    Draw 21.39%
Melbourne VictoryDrawWestern Sydney Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.37%
2-0 @ 6.74%
1-0 @ 6.61% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.37% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.58% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 4.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 3.25% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.34% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 2.26% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.33% (-0.004 -0)
4-3 @ 1.05% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.003 -0)
5-2 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 52.56%
1-1 @ 9.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.51% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 3.24% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 21.39%
1-2 @ 6.38% (0.008 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.13% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.96% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.05%
1-4 @ 1.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 26.05%

Head to Head
Dec 10, 2023 6am
Gameweek 7
Western Sydney
3-4
Victory
Antonsson (57' pen., 88'), Yuel (90+1')
Milanovic (71')
Fornaroli (8', 45+1', 51', 74')
Machach (32')
Apr 15, 2023 10.45am
Oct 15, 2022 9.45am
Mar 27, 2022 9.05am
Gameweek 20
Victory
1-1
Western Sydney
Davidson (90+1')
Hamill (68')
Miranda (88')
Ugarkovic (90+6' pen.)
Ugarkovic (79')
Feb 16, 2022 8.55am
Gameweek 10
Western Sydney
2-0
Victory
Russell (55'), Petratos (80' pen.)
Cancar (89'), Margush (90+4')

Kelava (80')
rhs 2.0
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