Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 52.56%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 26.05% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.74%) and 1-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
52.56% (![]() | 21.39% (![]() | 26.05% (![]() |
Both teams to score 65.32% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.59% (![]() | 33.41% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.8% (![]() | 55.19% (![]() |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.99% (![]() | 13% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.46% (![]() | 39.53% (![]() |
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.08% (![]() | 24.91% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.46% (![]() | 59.54% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
2-1 @ 9.37% 2-0 @ 6.74% 1-0 @ 6.61% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.37% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.58% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.43% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.25% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.34% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.26% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.33% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.05% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 0.95% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 2.37% Total : 52.56% | 1-1 @ 9.19% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.51% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.24% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.05% ( ![]() Other @ 0.41% Total : 21.39% | 1-2 @ 6.38% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.5% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.13% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.02% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.96% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.45% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.05% 1-4 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 2.53% Total : 26.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 41 |
2 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 35 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 33 |
5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 33 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 29 |
8 | Macarthur | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 25 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 22 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 21 |
11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 19 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 45 | -32 | 11 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 8 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |