Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 52.56%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 26.05% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.74%) and 1-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.