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Adelaide United
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Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 2
Oct 29, 2023 at 6am UK
Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
Newcastle Jets

Victory
5 - 3
Newcastle Jets

Fornaroli (8', 31', 40' pen., 45+3'), Velupillay (55')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Natta (6'), Taylor (49', 74')
Jenkinson (27'), Buhagiar (58')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Newcastle Jets.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sydney FC 0-2 Victory
Saturday, October 21 at 9.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 2-2 Newcastle Jets
Sunday, October 22 at 9.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 49.42%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 26.6% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawNewcastle Jets
49.42% (0.776 0.78) 23.97% (-0.154 -0.15) 26.6% (-0.626 -0.63)
Both teams to score 56.64% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.93% (0.22 0.22)45.07% (-0.22199999999999 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.58% (0.21 0.21)67.41% (-0.214 -0.21)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.68% (0.39100000000001 0.39)18.32% (-0.394 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.59% (0.659 0.66)49.41% (-0.663 -0.66)
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.34% (-0.357 -0.36)30.65% (0.355 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.1% (-0.426 -0.43)66.9% (0.423 0.42)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 49.42%
    Newcastle Jets 26.6%
    Draw 23.96%
Melbourne VictoryDrawNewcastle Jets
2-1 @ 9.56% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
1-0 @ 9.53% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.09% (0.125 0.12)
3-1 @ 5.41% (0.098999999999999 0.1)
3-0 @ 4.58% (0.127 0.13)
3-2 @ 3.2% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.3% (0.07 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.078 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.36% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 49.42%
1-1 @ 11.26% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.65% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.62% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.96%
1-2 @ 6.66% (-0.112 -0.11)
0-1 @ 6.64% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-2 @ 3.93% (-0.116 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.63% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.55% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 26.6%

Head to Head
Feb 12, 2023 4am
Gameweek 16
Newcastle Jets
2-1
Victory
Mikeltadze (37' pen.), Grozos (58')
Nov 4, 2022 8.45am
Gameweek 5
Victory
4-0
Newcastle Jets
Brimmer (16' pen.), Ikonomidis (50'), D'Agostino (54'), Fornaroli (89' pen.)
Apr 16, 2022 10.45am
Gameweek 24
Newcastle Jets
1-2
Victory
Siatravanis (65')
Elsey (41')
D'Agostino (6'), Margiotta (90+3')
Folami (58')
Feb 12, 2022 8.45am
Gameweek 14
Victory
1-2
Newcastle Jets
Brimmer (45+2')
Brillante (28'), Velupillay (86')
Brillante (48')
Yuel (57'), Mikeltadze (70' pen.)
Elsey (5'), Mikeltadze (21')
Apr 10, 2021 6.05am
Gameweek 18
Newcastle Jets
1-2
Victory
Thurgate (66'), Abimanyu (90+3')
Butterfield (63'), Lawrie-Lattanzio (81'), Lauton (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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