Australian A-League | Gameweek 26
Apr 29, 2022 at 10.45am UK
Docklands Stadium
Victory3 - 1Wellington
D'Agostino (2'), Brimmer (68' pen.), Rojas (78')
Broxham (24'), D'Agostino (39'), Nigro (43'), Rojas (54')
Broxham (24'), D'Agostino (39'), Nigro (43'), Rojas (54')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Wellington Phoenix.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Victory 1-4 Western Utd
Saturday, May 21 at 8.15am in Australian A-League
Saturday, May 21 at 8.15am in Australian A-League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne Victory | 6 | 4 | 13 |
| 2 | Macarthur | 6 | 2 | 13 |
| 3 | Western United | 6 | 1 | 12 |
Last Game: Western Utd 1-0 Wellington
Saturday, May 14 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Saturday, May 14 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Perth Glory | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Wellington Phoenix | 5 | -6 | 4 |
| 11 | Adelaide United | 5 | -2 | 3 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 56.04%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 21.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Wellington Phoenix win it was 1-2 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
| 56.04% | 21.99% | 21.98% |
| Both teams to score 58.08% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
