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Adelaide United
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Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
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Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 26
Apr 29, 2022 at 10.45am UK
Docklands Stadium
Wellington Phoenix

Victory
3 - 1
Wellington

D'Agostino (2'), Brimmer (68' pen.), Rojas (78')
Broxham (24'), D'Agostino (39'), Nigro (43'), Rojas (54')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sandoval (26' pen.)
Wootton (13'), Surman (71'), Pennington (77')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Wellington Phoenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

Last Six:
Last Game: Victory 1-4 Western Utd
Saturday, May 21 at 8.15am in Australian A-League

Wellington Phoenix

Last Six:
Last Game: Western Utd 1-0 Wellington
Saturday, May 14 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 56.04%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 21.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Wellington Phoenix win it was 1-2 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawWellington Phoenix
56.04%21.99%21.98%
Both teams to score 58.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.28%40.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.89%63.11%
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.59%14.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.67%42.33%
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.86%32.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.38%68.62%
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 56.04%
    Wellington Phoenix 21.98%
    Draw 21.99%
Melbourne VictoryDrawWellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 9.87%
1-0 @ 8.97%
2-0 @ 8.69%
3-1 @ 6.37%
3-0 @ 5.61%
3-2 @ 3.62%
4-1 @ 3.09%
4-0 @ 2.72%
4-2 @ 1.75%
5-1 @ 1.2%
5-0 @ 1.05%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 56.04%
1-1 @ 10.18%
2-2 @ 5.6%
0-0 @ 4.63%
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.99%
1-2 @ 5.78%
0-1 @ 5.26%
0-2 @ 2.98%
1-3 @ 2.19%
2-3 @ 2.12%
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 21.98%

Head to Head
Feb 9, 2022 8.05am
Wellington
1-0
Victory
Piscopo (74')
Ball (57'), Fenton (76'), Piscopo (90')
Mar 24, 2021 8.05am
Wellington
4-1
Victory
Hemed (11'), Ball (36'), Davila (62'), Lewis (68')
Fenton (74')
Kamsoba (76')
Traore (65'), Kruse (70'), Butterfield (90+1')
Feb 24, 2021 8.05am
Victory
2-0
Wellington
Gestede (45+3', 49')
Broxham (34'), Shotton (37'), Markovic (55'), Anderson (62')

Muratovic (18'), McGarry (25'), Fenton (51')
Mar 15, 2020 5.20am
Wellington
3-0
Victory
Davila (3'), Hooper (21'), Ball (55')
Devlin (10'), Rufer (66'), Steinmann (78')

Kirdar (20'), Roux (57'), Nabbout (86')
Dec 14, 2019 6am
Victory
0-0
Wellington

Donachie (31'), Basha (34'), Dobras (48'), Nabbout (73'), Toivonen (76'), Broxham (79'), Poulsen (81')
Dobras (60')

Steinmann (32'), Sotirio (74'), Devlin (86')
rhs 2.0
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