Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 52.3%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 25.9% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.15%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.