Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 52.3%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 25.9% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.15%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
Result | ||
Melbourne City | Draw | Sydney FC |
52.3% (![]() | 21.8% (![]() | 25.9% (![]() |
Both teams to score 63.65% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.47% (![]() | 35.53% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.42% (![]() | 57.58% (![]() |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.18% (![]() | 13.82% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.83% (![]() | 41.17% (![]() |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.85% (![]() | 26.14% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.78% (![]() | 61.22% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne City | Draw | Sydney FC |
2-1 @ 9.49% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.15% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.08% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.26% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.67% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.2% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.1% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.31% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.08% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.23% 4-3 @ 0.93% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 2.89% Total : 52.3% | 1-1 @ 9.59% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.37% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.61% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.88% ( ![]() Other @ 0.35% Total : 21.8% | 1-2 @ 6.43% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.85% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.25% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.88% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.85% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.45% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.97% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 2.27% Total : 25.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 41 |
2 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 35 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 33 |
5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 33 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 29 |
8 | Macarthur | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 25 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 22 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 21 |
11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 19 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 45 | -32 | 11 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 8 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |