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Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
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Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Melbourne City
Australian A-League | Gameweek 3
Nov 3, 2023 at 8.45am UK
Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
Sydney FC

Melbourne City
2 - 0
Sydney FC

Ugarkovic (45'), MacLaren (46')
Talbot (30'), Good (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)

King (26'), Wood (38')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Sydney FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last Game: Adelaide United 6-0 Melbourne City
Sunday, October 29 at 8am in Australian A-League

Sydney FC

All competitions
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 3-0 Sydney FC
Friday, October 27 at 9.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 52.3%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 25.9% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.15%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne CityDrawSydney FC
52.3% (0.687 0.69) 21.8% (0.047000000000001 0.05) 25.9% (-0.728 -0.73)
Both teams to score 63.65% (-0.91399999999999 -0.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.47% (-0.887 -0.89)35.53% (0.89 0.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.42% (-0.989 -0.99)57.58% (0.993 0.99)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.18% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)13.82% (0.096 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.83% (-0.186 -0.19)41.17% (0.189 0.19)
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.85% (-0.97799999999999 -0.98)26.14% (0.98 0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.78% (-1.33 -1.33)61.22% (1.335 1.34)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 52.3%
    Sydney FC 25.9%
    Draw 21.8%
Melbourne CityDrawSydney FC
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
1-0 @ 7.15% (0.292 0.29)
2-0 @ 7.08% (0.265 0.27)
3-1 @ 6.26% (0.042 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.67% (0.159 0.16)
3-2 @ 4.2% (-0.091 -0.09)
4-1 @ 3.1% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.31% (0.071 0.07)
4-2 @ 2.08% (-0.052 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.23%
4-3 @ 0.93% (-0.05 -0.05)
5-0 @ 0.91% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 52.3%
1-1 @ 9.59% (0.129 0.13)
2-2 @ 6.37% (-0.116 -0.12)
0-0 @ 3.61% (0.159 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.88% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 21.8%
1-2 @ 6.43% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
0-1 @ 4.85% (0.081 0.08)
0-2 @ 3.25% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.88% (-0.125 -0.13)
2-3 @ 2.85% (-0.135 -0.14)
0-3 @ 1.45% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 25.9%

Head to Head
May 19, 2023 10.45am
Melbourne City
4-0
Sydney FC
Good (37'), Rodwell (59' og.), Tilio (67'), Van der Venne (82')
Lam (45+2')

King (28'), Brattan (43')
Burgess (20')
> Preview
May 12, 2023 10.45am
Sydney FC
1-1
Melbourne City
Le Fondre (64' pen.)
Leckie (18')
> Preview
Feb 25, 2023 6am
Gameweek 18
Melbourne City
3-2
Sydney FC
MacLaren (5', 30'), Tilio (13')
Mak (28'), Caballo (90+6')
> Preview
Dec 10, 2022 8.45am
Gameweek 7
Sydney FC
2-1
Melbourne City
Lolley (23'), Le Fondre (61')
MacLaren (22' pen.)
> Preview
Apr 6, 2022 10.05am
Gameweek 11
Melbourne City
4-0
Sydney FC
Bos (26'), Leckie (55', 72'), MacLaren (70')

le Fondre (32'), Yazbek (35'), Talbot (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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