Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 35.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.58%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.