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Adelaide United
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Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Perth Glory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 9
Dec 23, 2022 at 11.30am UK
nib Stadium
Wellington Phoenix

Perth Glory
1 - 1
Wellington

Williams (22')
Williams (63'), Jelacic (81'), McEneff (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Zawada (31')
Wootton (5'), Lewis (52'), Laws (54'), Zawada (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Australian A-League clash between Perth Glory and Wellington Phoenix, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Macarthur 1-0 Perth Glory
Sunday, December 18 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Wellington 3-1 Adelaide United
Saturday, December 17 at 2am in Australian A-League

We said: Perth Glory 1-2 Wellington Phoenix

Wellington Phoenix head into Friday's contest in higher spirits than Perth Glory after their victory last time out, and the visitors will be regarded as slight favourites here. The hosts will be desperate to claim maximum points as they seek to climb off the bottom of the table, but we believe that the Yellow Army will outscore their opponents to prevail at Macedonia Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 42.42%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Perth GloryDrawWellington Phoenix
32% (-0.504 -0.5) 25.57% (-0.228 -0.23) 42.42% (0.729 0.73)
Both teams to score 54.73% (0.561 0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.88% (0.814 0.81)49.11% (-0.817 -0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.81% (0.731 0.73)71.19% (-0.73399999999999 -0.73)
Perth Glory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.1% (0.070999999999998 0.07)28.89% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.23% (0.091999999999999 0.09)64.77% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.97% (0.71299999999999 0.71)23.03% (-0.715 -0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.15% (1.038 1.04)56.84% (-1.04 -1.04)
Score Analysis
    Perth Glory 32%
    Wellington Phoenix 42.42%
    Draw 25.57%
Perth GloryDrawWellington Phoenix
1-0 @ 8.26% (-0.261 -0.26)
2-1 @ 7.53% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.13% (-0.151 -0.15)
3-1 @ 3.12% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.034 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.12% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-1 @ 0.97% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 32%
1-1 @ 12.13% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 6.65% (-0.225 -0.23)
2-2 @ 5.53% (0.072 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.57%
0-1 @ 9.77% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-2 @ 8.91% (0.097 0.1)
0-2 @ 7.17% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
1-3 @ 4.36% (0.137 0.14)
0-3 @ 3.51% (0.104 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.71% (0.091 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.6% (0.083 0.08)
0-4 @ 1.29% (0.064 0.06)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 42.42%

How you voted: Perth Glory vs Wellington

Perth Glory
24.3%
Draw
2.7%
Wellington Phoenix
73.0%
37
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2022 10.05am
Perth Glory
0-1
Wellington

Clisby (56')
Sandoval (48')
Pennington (58')
Mar 26, 2022 6.05am
Wellington
2-1
Perth Glory
Waine (37'), Pennington (90+7')
Fenton (89')
Fitzgerald (49')
Malik (47'), Timmins (64')
Malik (53')
May 30, 2021 4.35am
Wellington
2-2
Perth Glory
Hemed (25'), Sotirio (80')
Fenton (78'), Devlin (90+5')
Fornaroli (61'), Timmins (74')
Lachman (52'), Timmins (65'), Aspropotamitis (82'), Fornaroli (89'), Castro (90+1')
Apr 18, 2021 11.15am
Perth Glory
1-3
Wellington
Chianese (58')
Kato Geria (77')
Waine (56'), Fenton (66'), Sotirio (75')
Taylor (57'), Lewis (82')
Mar 7, 2021 5.05am
Wellington
3-0
Perth Glory
Piscopo (30'), Ball (35'), Waine (59')

Castro (37'), Stynes (54')
rhs 2.0
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