We said: Perth Glory 1-2 Wellington Phoenix
Wellington Phoenix head into Friday's contest in higher spirits than Perth Glory after their victory last time out, and the visitors will be regarded as slight favourites here.
The hosts will be desperate to claim maximum points as they seek to climb off the bottom of the table, but we believe that the Yellow Army will outscore their opponents to prevail at Macedonia Park.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 42.42%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.