Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 50.03%. A win for Melbourne City had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.17%) and 2-0 (5.74%). The likeliest Melbourne City win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sydney FC | Draw | Melbourne City |
50.03% (![]() | 21.12% (![]() | 28.84% (![]() |
Both teams to score 68.94% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.26% (![]() | 29.74% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.13% (![]() | 50.87% (![]() |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.51% (![]() | 12.49% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.53% (![]() | 38.46% (![]() |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.78% (![]() | 21.22% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.88% (![]() | 54.12% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sydney FC | Draw | Melbourne City |
2-1 @ 8.89% (![]() 3-1 @ 6.17% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.74% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 5.51% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.78% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.98% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.21% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.49% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.07% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.33% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.28% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 3.56% Total : 50.03% | 1-1 @ 8.55% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.89% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.65% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.47% ( ![]() Other @ 0.57% Total : 21.12% | 1-2 @ 6.62% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.11% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.56% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.42% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.18% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.65% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.38% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.33% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 2.64% Total : 28.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 41 | 20 | 21 | 45 |
2 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 46 | 30 | 16 | 38 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 37 |
4 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 36 |
5 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 49 | 36 | 13 | 35 |
6 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 46 | 45 | 1 | 33 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 30 |
8 | Macarthur | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 29 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 26 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 25 |
11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 21 |
12 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 40 | -17 | 11 |
13 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 22 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 51 | -36 | 11 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |