Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 44.69%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.49%) and 0-1 (5.47%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sydney FC in this match.
Result | ||
Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Sydney FC |
33.42% ( 0.43) | 21.88% ( 0.01) | 44.69% ( -0.45) |
Both teams to score 68.74% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.95% ( 0.12) | 31.05% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.55% ( 0.14) | 52.45% ( -0.15) |
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.59% ( 0.27) | 19.41% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.77% ( 0.45) | 51.23% ( -0.45) |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.29% ( -0.11) | 14.71% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.1% ( -0.21) | 42.89% ( 0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Sydney FC |
2-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.03) 4-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.36% Total : 33.42% | 1-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 7.05% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.55% Total : 21.88% | 1-2 @ 8.6% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 5.49% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 4.5% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 2.63% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.04) 3-4 @ 1.18% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.45% Total : 44.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
5 | Macarthur | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 12 |
6 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 10 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 2 |
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