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Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 13, 2021 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Bristol City

Birmingham
0 - 3
Bristol City


Sanchez (45+1'), Sunjic (48'), Roberts (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Palmer (35'), Semenyo (62'), O'Dowda (76')
Wells (49'), Lansbury (66')

Preview: Birmingham City vs. Bristol City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Birmingham City play host to Bristol City on Saturday afternoon looking to move clear of the Championship relegation zone.

Meanwhile, the visitors head into the fixture at St Andrew's having lost their last two matches, results which have left the Robins 13 points adrift of the playoffs.


Match preview

Birmingham City manager Aitor Karanka pictured on January 10, 2021© Reuters

With direct rivals Rotherham United having matches postponed due to positive coronavirus tests, it has heaped extra pressure on Birmingham to try to get some much-needed wins on the board.

While seven points have been collected from five matches, it has only left Blues with a three-point advantage over the Millers, who already possess three matches in hand.

Aitor Karanka could be left with plenty of stick-or-twist scenarios over the coming matches, unsure whether his side would be best settling for a point or going all out for victory.

Nevertheless, having recorded just three home wins from 17 fixtures this season, it cannot be used an as excuse if they drop into the bottom three.

On the plus side, the most recent of those triumphs came against Queens Park Rangers at the end of last month, a result which may encourage Karanka to go on the offensive at the weekend.

Bristol City's Tyreeq Bakinson scores against Bournemouth in the Championship on March 3, 2021© Reuters

From Bristol City's perspective, recently-appointed boss Nigel Pearson has been left with the task of trying to lift his players after successive defeats.

Despite an initial upturn in results after his arrival at Ashton Gate, setbacks against Bournemouth and QPR mean that the Robins now sit 13 points adrift of the playoffs.

Realistically, they have been left with far too much to do over their remaining 11 matches, but Pearson will want to lay the foundations ahead of an improved 2021-22 campaign.

Bristol City have prevailed in their last two encounters on the road with 3-1 wins being registered at Middlesbrough and Swansea City respectively.

Birmingham City Championship form:
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L

Bristol City Championship form:
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L


Team News

Birmingham City's Scott Hogan celebrates scoring against Middlesbrough in the Championship on January 16, 2021© Reuters

Karanka must decide whether to stick with the 3-5-2 formation which was used during the narrow defeat at in-form Barnsley.

Sam Cosgrove is in contention to make his first Blues start in place of Scott Hogan or Lukas Jutkiewicz, while Alen Halilovic, Ivan Sanchez and Jeremie Bela are all options in creative roles.

Pearson may opt against taking any risks with Zak Vyner and Adam Nagy, who both suffered head injuries in the defeat to QPR.

Having performed well on his first-team debut, youngster Sam Pearson could join Henri Lansbury in deputising in midfield.

Birmingham City possible starting lineup:
Etheridge; Dean, Roberts, Friend; Valery, Gardner, Sunjic, Pedersen; Halilovic; Hogan, Jutkiewicz

Bristol City possible starting lineup:
Bentley; Hunt, Mariappa, Kalas, Sessegnon; Lansbury, Bakinson, Pearson; Palmer, Diedhiou, Wells


SM words green background

We say: Birmingham City 1-1 Bristol City

There is an argument that a draw would not suit either club, especially Bristol City who will only challenge for the top six with a lengthy winning streak. That said, we feel that Saturday's game will end in a low-scoring draw, the visitors potentially finding their equaliser during the latter stages.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Birmingham vs Bristol City

Birmingham City
36.4%
Draw
27.3%
Bristol City
36.4%
11
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Watford manager Nigel Pearson pictured on June 25, 2020
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Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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