Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Gremio and Fortaleza.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 50.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 23.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.
Result | ||
Gremio | Draw | Fortaleza |
50.71% ( 0.15) | 25.76% ( -0.08) | 23.52% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 48.09% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.13% ( 0.25) | 54.86% ( -0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.84% ( 0.2) | 76.16% ( -0.21) |
Gremio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.32% ( 0.17) | 21.67% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.18% ( 0.26) | 54.81% ( -0.26) |
Fortaleza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.4% ( 0.07) | 38.59% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.66% ( 0.07) | 75.34% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Gremio 50.71%
Fortaleza 23.52%
Draw 25.75%
Gremio | Draw | Fortaleza |
1-0 @ 12.79% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.13% Total : 50.71% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.79% Total : 25.75% | 0-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.8% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.84% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 1.52% Total : 23.52% |
Head to Head
Jun 20, 2024 12am
Gameweek 10
Fortaleza
1-0
Gremio
May 14, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 6
Gremio
0-0
Fortaleza
Jun 28, 2021 12am
Gameweek 7
Gremio
0-0
Fortaleza
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-11-14 00:31:30
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Botafogo | 33 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 68 |
2 | PalmeirasPalmeiras | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 54 | 27 | 27 | 64 |
3 | FortalezaFortaleza | 33 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 63 |
4 | FlamengoFlamengo | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 59 |
5 | InternacionalInternacional | 33 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 46 | 28 | 18 | 59 |
6 | Sao Paulo | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 57 |
7 | Cruzeiro | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 47 |
8 | Bahia | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 46 |
9 | Vasco da GamaVasco | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 43 |
10 | Atletico Mineiro | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 42 |
11 | Corinthians | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 41 |
12 | Gremio | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 39 |
13 | Vitoria | 33 | 11 | 5 | 17 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 38 |
14 | Fluminense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 37 |
15 | CriciumaCriciuma | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 37 |
16 | JuventudeJuventude | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 37 |
17 | BragantinoBragantino | 33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 36 |
18 | Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 34 |
19 | Cuiaba | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 29 |
20 | Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 24 | 50 | -26 | 26 |
> Brasileiro Full Table |
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