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Bundesliga
Stuttgart
Bundesliga | Gameweek 19
Jan 27, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
Leipzig logo

Stuttgart
5 - 2
RB Leipzig

Millot (25' pen.), Undav (30', 56', 75'), Leweling (48')
Anton (69')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Sesko (32'), Openda (55')
Schlager (5'), Simakan (16'), Baumgartner (42'), Raum (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-0 Stuttgart
Saturday, January 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-3 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, January 20 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Stuttgart 1-2 RB Leipzig

 A closely-contested top-four encounter between two teams desperate to return to winning ways could be on the cards this weekend, and although Stuttgart boast the home advantage, Leipzig have had far more success in this fixture over the years. Both teams will not be at full-strength here, but we believe that Leipzig have enough quality at their disposal to claim maximum points against a Stuttgart side who have lost all four matches without the presence of leading marksman Guirassy this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.21%) and 2-0 (5.68%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
StuttgartDrawRB Leipzig
44.46% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 22.5% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 33.04% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 66.2% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.7% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)34.3% (0.074000000000005 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.79% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)56.21% (0.083000000000006 0.08)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.94% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)16.06% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.57% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)45.43% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.86% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)21.14% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.01% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)53.99% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 44.47%
    RB Leipzig 33.04%
    Draw 22.5%
StuttgartDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 8.82% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.21% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.68% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.38%
3-2 @ 4.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.46% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.91% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.58% (0.002 0)
4-3 @ 0.99% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 44.47%
1-1 @ 9.65% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.86% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 3.4% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.17% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 22.5%
1-2 @ 7.5% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 5.28% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.1% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.88% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.55% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.12% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 1.51% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.38% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 33.04%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig

Stuttgart
15.9%
Draw
24.6%
RB Leipzig
59.4%
69
Head to Head
Aug 25, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 2
RB Leipzig
5-1
Stuttgart
Henrichs (51'), Olmo (63'), Openda (66'), Kampl (74'), Simons (76')
Rose (45+7'), Schlager (61')
Guirassy (35')
Egloff (65')
> Preview
Jan 27, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 18
RB Leipzig
2-1
Stuttgart
Szoboszlai (25', 49')
Fuhrich (68' pen.)
> Preview
Aug 7, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Stuttgart
1-1
RB Leipzig
Ahamada (31')
Wamangituka (64'), Mola (90+4')
Nkunku (8')
Sorloth (87')
> Preview
Jan 15, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 19
Stuttgart
0-2
RB Leipzig

Coulibaly (8'), Tibidi (53'), Matarazzo (55'), Kalajdzic (90+2')
Silva (11' pen.), Nkunku (70')
Poulsen (55')
> Preview
Aug 20, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 2
RB Leipzig
4-0
Stuttgart
Szoboszlai (38', 52'), Forsberg (46'), Silva (65' pen.)

Kempf (64'), Forster (68'), Mavropanos (71')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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