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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 37.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.67%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
Result | ||
RB Leipzig | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
37.25% (![]() | 24.42% (![]() | 38.33% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.88% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.07% (![]() | 42.92% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.67% (![]() | 65.33% (![]() |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.11% (![]() | 22.89% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.35% (![]() | 56.65% (![]() |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.66% (![]() | 22.34% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.18% (![]() | 55.82% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
RB Leipzig | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
2-1 @ 8.33% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.54% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.56% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.09% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.07% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.73% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.51% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.13% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 2.28% Total : 37.25% | 1-1 @ 11.3% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.24% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.11% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.53% ( ![]() Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.42% | 1-2 @ 8.47% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.67% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.75% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.23% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.12% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.87% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.59% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.17% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 2.4% Total : 38.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |