B. Leverkusen3 - 0Arminia Bielefeld
We said: Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 Arminia Bielefeld
Bielefeld are likely to make this a tough test for Leverkusen on Saturday, particularly with Schick missing for the hosts on the day. As a result, we cannot see this being a comfortable home win for Die Werkself like many would expect, but we are predicting a home win by a narrow margin nonetheless, with their defeat last week being an exception during a strong run of form for the Champions League hopefuls. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 74.38%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 10.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 3-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.89%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 1-2 (3.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Arminia Bielefeld |
| 74.38% | 15.16% | 10.45% |
| Both teams to score 55.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.71% | 31.29% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.26% | 52.73% |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.87% | 7.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 74.03% | 25.96% |
| Arminia Bielefeld Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.46% | 40.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.86% | 77.14% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Arminia Bielefeld |
| 2-0 @ 10.08% 2-1 @ 9.1% 3-0 @ 8.88% 3-1 @ 8.02% 1-0 @ 7.63% 4-0 @ 5.86% 4-1 @ 5.29% 3-2 @ 3.62% 5-0 @ 3.1% 5-1 @ 2.8% 4-2 @ 2.39% 6-0 @ 1.36% 5-2 @ 1.26% 6-1 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.76% Total : 74.38% | 1-1 @ 6.89% 2-2 @ 4.11% 0-0 @ 2.89% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.18% Total : 15.16% | 1-2 @ 3.11% 0-1 @ 2.61% 2-3 @ 1.24% 0-2 @ 1.18% 1-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.38% Total : 10.45% |
