Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 24

Feb 26, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
3 - 0
Arminia Bielefeld

Alario (30'), Diaby (57', 81')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kunze (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Arminia Bielefeld, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 Arminia Bielefeld

Bielefeld are likely to make this a tough test for Leverkusen on Saturday, particularly with Schick missing for the hosts on the day. As a result, we cannot see this being a comfortable home win for Die Werkself like many would expect, but we are predicting a home win by a narrow margin nonetheless, with their defeat last week being an exception during a strong run of form for the Champions League hopefuls. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 74.38%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 10.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 3-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.89%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 1-2 (3.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Arminia Bielefeld
74.38%	15.16%	10.45%

Both teams to score 55.22%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.71%

31.29%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.26%

52.73%

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.87%

7.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.03%

25.96%

Arminia Bielefeld Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.46%

40.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.86%

77.14%

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 74.38%

Arminia Bielefeld 10.45%

Draw 15.16%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Arminia Bielefeld
2-0 @ 10.08% 2-1 @ 9.1% 3-0 @ 8.88% 3-1 @ 8.02% 1-0 @ 7.63% 4-0 @ 5.86% 4-1 @ 5.29% 3-2 @ 3.62% 5-0 @ 3.1% 5-1 @ 2.8% 4-2 @ 2.39% 6-0 @ 1.36% 5-2 @ 1.26% 6-1 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.76% Total : 74.38%	1-1 @ 6.89% 2-2 @ 4.11% 0-0 @ 2.89% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.18% Total : 15.16%	1-2 @ 3.11% 0-1 @ 2.61% 2-3 @ 1.24% 0-2 @ 1.18% 1-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.38% Total : 10.45%