Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 6, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
Dortmund2 - 5B. Leverkusen
We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-2 Bayer Leverkusen
The meetings between these two sides never seem to fail to deliver entertainment, with a remarkable tally of 40 goals being netted during the last eight encounters, and all the signs are pointing towards a high-scoring affair on Sunday. Both Dortmund and Leverkusen have been prolific in front of goal this season, whilst also leaving a leaky defence at the back as well, but we are predicting the hosts to just about edge a thriller thanks to their dominance over their opponents in recent years. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 57.86%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 22.07% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.15%) and 3-1 (6.99%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (5.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 57.86% | 20.06% | 22.07% |
| Both teams to score 65.34% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
