Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 22

Feb 12, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
4 - 2
Stuttgart

Diaby (41'), Adli (52'), Wirtz (86'), Schick (90')
Demirbay (45'), Andrich (63'), Bakker (83')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Tomas (49', 88')
Endo (51'), Mavropanos (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 3-1 Stuttgart

Goals are to be expected at the BayArena on Saturday, with Leverkusen currently in fine goalscoring form but also having the tendency to leak a goal as well, with no clean sheets in their last 11 games. The hosts should have far too much quality for their struggling visitors though, so we are expecting a comfortable win for Leverkusen by a multiple-goal margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 60.54%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Stuttgart had a probability of 19.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.45%) and 1-0 (7.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Stuttgart win it was 1-2 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Stuttgart
60.54%	20.07%	19.39%

Both teams to score 60.76%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.69%

35.31%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.67%

57.33%

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.64%

11.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.93%

36.07%

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.55%

31.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.17%

67.83%

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 60.54%

Stuttgart 19.39%

Draw 20.07%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Stuttgart
2-1 @ 9.78% 2-0 @ 8.45% 1-0 @ 7.77% 3-1 @ 7.09% 3-0 @ 6.13% 3-2 @ 4.1% 4-1 @ 3.86% 4-0 @ 3.33% 4-2 @ 2.23% 5-1 @ 1.68% 5-0 @ 1.45% 5-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.71% Total : 60.54%	1-1 @ 8.99% 2-2 @ 5.66% 0-0 @ 3.57% 3-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 0.28% Total : 20.07%	1-2 @ 5.2% 0-1 @ 4.13% 0-2 @ 2.39% 2-3 @ 2.18% 1-3 @ 2% 0-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.56% Total : 19.39%