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Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Dec 17, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
BayArena
Eintracht Frankfurt logo

B. Leverkusen
3 - 0
Frankfurt

Okoh Boniface (14'), Frimpong (51'), Wirtz (57')
Palacios (12')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gotze (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Eintracht Frankfurt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 5-1 Molde
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Eintracht Frankfurt

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Aberdeen 2-0 Frankfurt
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 3-1 Eintracht Frankfurt

 With the title of Herbstmeisterschaft (winter champions) up for grabs here, Leverkusen show no signs of slowing down, and another win is set to come to extend their phenomenal start. Despite their stunning win last weekend, Frankfurt have not been showing much form at all and suffered another defeat in midweek, albeit with a rotated side, and are big underdogs here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 61.04%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 18.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 1-0 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Eintracht Frankfurt win it was 1-2 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawEintracht Frankfurt
61.04% (0.506 0.51) 20.03% (-0.35 -0.35) 18.93% (-0.158 -0.16)
Both teams to score 60.05% (0.992 0.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.16% (1.423 1.42)35.84% (-1.422 -1.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.07% (1.55 1.55)57.92% (-1.549 -1.55)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.61% (0.571 0.57)11.39% (-0.57 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.87% (1.227 1.23)36.13% (-1.225 -1.22)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.77% (0.687 0.69)32.23% (-0.687 -0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.28% (0.772 0.77)68.72% (-0.77200000000001 -0.77)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 61.04%
    Eintracht Frankfurt 18.93%
    Draw 20.03%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawEintracht Frankfurt
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
2-0 @ 8.66% (-0.214 -0.21)
1-0 @ 7.97% (-0.386 -0.39)
3-1 @ 7.1% (0.12 0.12)
3-0 @ 6.27% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.02% (0.142 0.14)
4-1 @ 3.86% (0.151 0.15)
4-0 @ 3.41% (0.071 0.07)
4-2 @ 2.19% (0.125 0.13)
5-1 @ 1.68% (0.102 0.1)
5-0 @ 1.48% (0.064 0.06)
5-2 @ 0.95% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 61.04%
1-1 @ 9.03% (-0.261 -0.26)
2-2 @ 5.55% (0.072 0.07)
0-0 @ 3.67% (-0.266 -0.27)
3-3 @ 1.52% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 20.03%
1-2 @ 5.11% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
0-1 @ 4.16% (-0.219 -0.22)
0-2 @ 2.35% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.1% (0.066 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.93% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 18.93%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Frankfurt

Bayer Leverkusen
94.4%
Draw
1.9%
Eintracht Frankfurt
3.7%
54
Head to Head
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B. Leverkusen
3-1
Frankfurt
Adli (10'), Diaby (34'), Azmoun (90+5')
Sow (74')
> Preview
Oct 15, 2022 2.30pm
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Frankfurt
5-1
B. Leverkusen
Kamada (45+5' pen., 72' pen.), Kolo (58'), Lindstrom (65'), Alario (86')
Hincapie (56')
> Preview
May 2, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 32
B. Leverkusen
2-0
Frankfurt
Paulinho (18'), Schick (51')
> Preview
Dec 12, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 15
Frankfurt
5-2
B. Leverkusen
Tuta (23'), Lindstrom (30'), N'Dicka (50'), Jakic (66'), Sow (76')
Schick (5', 22')
Frimpong (48'), Aranguiz (55'), Hincapie (61')
> Preview
Apr 24, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 31
B. Leverkusen
3-1
Frankfurt
Bailey (70'), Alario (80'), Demirbay (90+1')
Palacios (76')
Silva (90+1')
N'Dicka (87')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig148332315827
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243
> Bundesliga Full Table


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