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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 61.04%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 18.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 1-0 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Eintracht Frankfurt win it was 1-2 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Eintracht Frankfurt |
61.04% ( 0.51) | 20.03% ( -0.35) | 18.93% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 60.05% ( 0.99) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.16% ( 1.42) | 35.84% ( -1.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.07% ( 1.55) | 57.92% ( -1.55) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.61% ( 0.57) | 11.39% ( -0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.87% ( 1.23) | 36.13% ( -1.22) |
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.77% ( 0.69) | 32.23% ( -0.69) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.28% ( 0.77) | 68.72% ( -0.77) |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Eintracht Frankfurt |
2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.21) 1-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.39) 3-1 @ 7.1% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.13) 5-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.1) 5-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.06) 5-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.64% Total : 61.04% | 1-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.27) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.26% Total : 20.03% | 1-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.28% Total : 18.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 53 | 13 | 40 | 42 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 38 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 30 |
5 | Stuttgart | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 29 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 28 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 27 |
8 | Freiburg | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 26 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
12 | Augsburg | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 19 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 17 |
14 | St Pauli | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
15 | Heidenheim | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 14 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 11 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 9 |
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