Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
