Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 25

Mar 13, 2021 at 2.30pm UK

Coface Arena

Mainz 05
1 - 0
Freiburg

Quaison (84')
Bell (68')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hofler (21'), Schlotterbeck (33'), Schmid (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 36.22%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-0 (11.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	Freiburg
35.81%	27.97%	36.22%

Both teams to score 47.9%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.88%

58.12%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.22%

78.78%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.08%

30.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.79%

67.21%

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.34%

30.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.09%

66.91%

Score Analysis

Mainz 05 35.81%

Freiburg 36.22%

Draw 27.96%

Mainz 05	Draw	Freiburg
1-0 @ 11.12% 2-1 @ 7.72% 2-0 @ 6.53% 3-1 @ 3.02% 3-0 @ 2.56% 3-2 @ 1.79% Other @ 3.07% Total : 35.81%	1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 9.48% 2-2 @ 4.56% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.96%	0-1 @ 11.2% 1-2 @ 7.78% 0-2 @ 6.62% 1-3 @ 3.06% 0-3 @ 2.61% 2-3 @ 1.8% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.24% Total : 36.22%