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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | FC Koln |
36.34% (![]() | 25.42% (![]() | 38.24% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.23% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.39% (![]() | 47.62% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.18% (![]() | 69.82% (![]() |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.47% (![]() | 25.53% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.61% (![]() | 60.39% (![]() |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.51% (![]() | 24.49% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.05% (![]() | 58.95% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | FC Koln |
1-0 @ 8.54% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.2% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.83% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.73% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.65% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.62% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.27% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 2.59% Total : 36.34% | 1-1 @ 12.01% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.25% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.77% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.23% ( ![]() Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 8.8% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.45% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.19% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.96% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.9% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.7% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.39% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.02% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 1.87% Total : 38.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |