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Bundesliga | Gameweek 24
Mar 12, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
Hoffenheim logo

Freiburg
2 - 1
Hoffenheim

Eggestein (5'), Doan (89')
Hofler (67'), Petersen (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Stiller (48')
Kabak (52'), Geiger (73'), Brooks (84'), Akpoguma (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Juventus 1-0 Freiburg
Thursday, March 9 at 8pm in Europa League

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 1-0 Hoffenheim
Saturday, March 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Freiburg 2-0 Hoffenheim

 Freiburg have only lost once in their last eight games against Hoffenheim, and the form book suggests they will add to that impressive recent run of form against their upcoming opponents here. With Hoffenheim breaking unwanted club records with regularity of late, they will need a big performance to get anything from this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 54.72%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 22.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Freiburg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Freiburg.

Result
FreiburgDrawHoffenheim
54.72% (-0.293 -0.29) 22.49% (0.099 0.1) 22.79% (0.195 0.2)
Both teams to score 57.47% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.96% (-0.22799999999999 -0.23)42.04% (0.22799999999999 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.56% (-0.229 -0.23)64.44% (0.22799999999999 0.23)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.71% (-0.176 -0.18)15.29% (0.176 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.99% (-0.33300000000001 -0.33)44% (0.332 0.33)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.85% (0.045000000000002 0.05)32.15% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.37% (0.052 0.05)68.63% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 54.72%
    Hoffenheim 22.79%
    Draw 22.48%
FreiburgDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.23% (0.037999999999998 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.67% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.16% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.43% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.49% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.89% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.55% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.64% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.09% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.96% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 54.72%
1-1 @ 10.47% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 4.92% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.48%
1-2 @ 5.94% (0.039 0.04)
0-1 @ 5.58% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.17% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.25% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.2% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 22.79%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Hoffenheim

Freiburg
83.1%
Draw
3.1%
Hoffenheim
13.8%
65
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 6.30pm
Hoffenheim
0-0
Freiburg

Gunter (56')
Apr 30, 2022 5.30pm
Hoffenheim
3-4
Freiburg
Kramaric (32'), Stiller (49'), Rudy (84')
Samassekou (45')
Sallai (23'), Gunter (50'), Holer (70'), Woo-yeong (73')
Jan 19, 2022 7.45pm
Last 16
Hoffenheim
1-4
Freiburg
Schlotterbeck (53' og.)
Richards (32'), Geiger (79')
Grifo (10', 35'), Schade (55'), Demirovic (68')
Schade (27')
Dec 11, 2021 2.30pm
Freiburg
1-2
Hoffenheim
Schlotterbeck (21')
Lienhart (16'), Kubler (87'), Holer (90+3'), Gunter (90+5')
Raum (3'), Richards (90+4')
Posch (38'), Akpoguma (61'), Vogt (80')
Apr 24, 2021 2.30pm
Freiburg
1-1
Hoffenheim
Grifo (81' pen.)
Schlotterbeck (50')
Kramaric (40')
Bebou (48'), Samassekou (59')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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