Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 5, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Coface Arena
Mainz 052 - 0Hoffenheim
We said: Mainz 05 2-2 Hoffenheim
In a derby with local pride at stake, this could prove to be a fiery encounter. Both sides will want to return to winning ways but may well cancel each other out in what should be an entertaining game. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Hoffenheim |
| 46.18% | 24.21% | 29.61% |
| Both teams to score 58.1% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
