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Bundesliga | Gameweek 23
Feb 23, 2025 at 6.30pm UK
DnB NOR Arena
Stuttgart

Hoffenheim
1 - 1
Stuttgart

Orban (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stuttgart 1-2 Wolfsburg
Saturday, February 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hoffenheim 2-1 Stuttgart

Hoffenheim have struggled at home this campaign, whereas Stuttgart have been excellent away from home. The visitors' strong record on the road should make them favourites on Sunday, though it is hard to see them keeping a clean sheet given the volume of goals they have conceded recently. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 47.79%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 30.25% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.15%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
HoffenheimDrawStuttgart
30.25% (-0.362 -0.36) 21.96% (-0.012 -0.01) 47.79% (0.373 0.37)
Both teams to score 66.74% (-0.18900000000001 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67% (-0.15300000000001 -0.15)33% (0.153 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.28% (-0.176 -0.18)54.72% (0.176 0.18)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.94% (-0.28399999999999 -0.28)22.05% (0.285 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.61% (-0.43 -0.43)55.39% (0.431 0.43)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.62% (0.069000000000003 0.07)14.38% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.73% (0.135 0.13)42.26% (-0.134 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 30.25%
    Stuttgart 47.79%
    Draw 21.96%
HoffenheimDrawStuttgart
2-1 @ 7.03% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-0 @ 4.79% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 3.62% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.54% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.43% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.83% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 30.25%
1-1 @ 9.3% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.81% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.17% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 2.22% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 21.96%
1-2 @ 9.02% (0.041 0.04)
0-1 @ 6.15% (0.065 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.96% (0.078 0.08)
1-3 @ 5.83% (0.041 0.04)
2-3 @ 4.41% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.86% (0.06 0.06)
1-4 @ 2.83% (0.027 0.03)
2-4 @ 2.14% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-4 @ 1.87% (0.033 0.03)
1-5 @ 1.1% (0.013 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.08% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 47.79%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart

Hoffenheim
45.6%
Draw
14.0%
Stuttgart
40.4%
57
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2024 6.30pm
Gameweek 6
Stuttgart
1-1
Hoffenheim
Demirovic (90+9')
Mittelstadt (26')
Gendrey (45')
Bischof (45+3'), Grillitsch (55'), Kramaric (66'), Chaves (71')
Mar 16, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 26
Hoffenheim
0-3
Stuttgart

Kaderabek (45+3')
Millot (16'), Guirassy (45+1'), Leweling (68')
Oct 28, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Stuttgart
2-3
Hoffenheim
Fuhrich (61'), Undav (73')
Rouault (21'), Fuhrich (80')
Promel (4'), Weghorst (21' pen.), Skov (66')
Akpoguma (17')
May 27, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Stuttgart
1-1
Hoffenheim
Tomas (80')
Bebou (75')
Jan 24, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 17
Hoffenheim
2-2
Stuttgart
Kramaric (11', 90+4')
Guirassy (45+5'), Endo (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern25194274235161
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen25158255302553
3Mainz 05Mainz25135742261644
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt25126751391242
5Freiburg2512583436-241
6RB Leipzig2510963933639
7Wolfsburg25108749391038
8Stuttgart2510784439537
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach25114103938137
10Borussia DortmundDortmund25105104539635
11Augsburg259882835-735
12Werder Bremen2596103849-1133
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2576122337-1427
14Hoffenheim2568113247-1526
15St Pauli2564151930-1122
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum2546152550-2518
17Holstein Kiel2545163761-2417
18Heidenheim2544172851-2316


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