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Bundesliga | Gameweek 23
Feb 23, 2025 at 6.30pm UK
DnB NOR Arena
Stuttgart

Hoffenheim
1 - 1
Stuttgart

Orban (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stuttgart 1-2 Wolfsburg
Saturday, February 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hoffenheim 2-1 Stuttgart

Hoffenheim have struggled at home this campaign, whereas Stuttgart have been excellent away from home. The visitors' strong record on the road should make them favourites on Sunday, though it is hard to see them keeping a clean sheet given the volume of goals they have conceded recently. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 47.79%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 30.25% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.15%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
HoffenheimDrawStuttgart
30.25% (-0.362 -0.36) 21.96% (-0.012 -0.01) 47.79% (0.373 0.37)
Both teams to score 66.74% (-0.18900000000001 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67% (-0.15300000000001 -0.15)33% (0.153 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.28% (-0.176 -0.18)54.72% (0.176 0.18)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.94% (-0.28399999999999 -0.28)22.05% (0.285 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.61% (-0.43 -0.43)55.39% (0.431 0.43)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.62% (0.069000000000003 0.07)14.38% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.73% (0.135 0.13)42.26% (-0.134 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 30.25%
    Stuttgart 47.79%
    Draw 21.96%
HoffenheimDrawStuttgart
2-1 @ 7.03% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-0 @ 4.79% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 3.62% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.54% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.43% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.83% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 30.25%
1-1 @ 9.3% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.81% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.17% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 2.22% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 21.96%
1-2 @ 9.02% (0.041 0.04)
0-1 @ 6.15% (0.065 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.96% (0.078 0.08)
1-3 @ 5.83% (0.041 0.04)
2-3 @ 4.41% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.86% (0.06 0.06)
1-4 @ 2.83% (0.027 0.03)
2-4 @ 2.14% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-4 @ 1.87% (0.033 0.03)
1-5 @ 1.1% (0.013 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.08% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 47.79%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart

Hoffenheim
Draw
Stuttgart
Hoffenheim
45.6%
Draw
14.0%
Stuttgart
40.4%
57
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2024 6.30pm
Gameweek 6
Stuttgart
1-1
Hoffenheim
Demirovic (90+9')
Mittelstadt (26')
Gendrey (45')
Bischof (45+3'), Grillitsch (55'), Kramaric (66'), Chaves (71')
Mar 16, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 26
Hoffenheim
0-3
Stuttgart

Kaderabek (45+3')
Millot (16'), Guirassy (45+1'), Leweling (68')
Oct 28, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Stuttgart
2-3
Hoffenheim
Fuhrich (61'), Undav (73')
Rouault (21'), Fuhrich (80')
Promel (4'), Weghorst (21' pen.), Skov (66')
Akpoguma (17')
May 27, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Stuttgart
1-1
Hoffenheim
Tomas (80')
Bebou (75')
Jan 24, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 17
Hoffenheim
2-2
Stuttgart
Kramaric (11', 90+4')
Guirassy (45+5'), Endo (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern30226287295872
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen301810264352964
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt30157858421652
4RB Leipzig301310748381049
5Freiburg30146104347-448
6Mainz 05Mainz30138948361247
7Borussia DortmundDortmund301361157471045
8Werder Bremen30136114854-645
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach30135124846244
10Augsburg30111093340-743
11Stuttgart30118115650641
12Wolfsburg30109115347639
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin3098133044-1435
14St Pauli3086162636-1030
15Hoffenheim3079143855-1730
16Heidenheim3064203260-2822
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum3055202962-3320
18Holstein Kiel3047194171-3019


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