MX23RW : Monday, March 10 14:40:45| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 8, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
DnB NOR Arena
Union Berlin logo

Hoffenheim
0 - 4
Union Berlin


Bulter (2'), Geiger (36')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hollerbach (24', 87'), Ljubicic (61'), Ilic (73')
Trimmel (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union Berlin 0-0 RB Leipzig
Saturday, February 1 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hoffenheim 2-1 Union Berlin

It is difficult to see either team dominating given both have struggled in the past weeks, but Hoffenheim could have the edge considering Union have lost so frequently on the road. Additionally, the hosts are in a good vein of goalscoring form despite suffering so many injuries, and they should be confident of holding onto a lead in light of the visitors' poor showings in the final third. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 44.65%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 30.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
HoffenheimDrawUnion Berlin
44.65% (0.064 0.06) 25.06% (-0.067 -0.07) 30.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.65% (0.22900000000001 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.43% (0.299 0.3)47.57% (-0.294 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.23% (0.276 0.28)69.77% (-0.271 -0.27)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.67% (0.154 0.15)21.33% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.72% (0.236 0.24)54.28% (-0.232 -0.23)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.73% (0.155 0.16)29.27% (-0.151 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.77% (0.189 0.19)65.23% (-0.185 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 44.65%
    Union Berlin 30.3%
    Draw 25.06%
HoffenheimDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 9.64% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.16% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.45% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.72% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.82% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.48% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 44.65%
1-1 @ 11.85% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.24% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.63% (0.03 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.06%
0-1 @ 7.67% (-0.062 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.28% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.71% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.98% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.3% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.93% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 30.3%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Union Berlin

Hoffenheim
74.4%
Draw
15.4%
Union Berlin
10.3%
39
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Union Berlin
2-1
Hoffenheim
Rothe (4'), Woo-yeong (6')
Siebatcheu (23'), Vertessen (85'), Rothe (89')
Bulter (67')
Kaderabek (50'), Bischof (79'), Tohumcu (89')
Feb 17, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 22
Hoffenheim
0-1
Union Berlin

Nsoki (45'), Kaderabek (86')
Nsoki (45+4')
Aaronson (84')
Volland (45'), Doekhi (45+9'), Leite (89')
Volland (45+6')
Sep 23, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Union Berlin
0-2
Hoffenheim

Tousart (72')
Kramaric (22' pen.), Beier (38')
Kramaric (45+4'), Stach (54'), Ole Becker (89')
May 20, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 33
Hoffenheim
4-2
Union Berlin
Bebou (22'), Kramaric (36' pen., 90'), Dabour (90+9')
Promel (81'), Kramaric (90+1'), Stiller (90+8'), Dabour (90+8')
Doekhi (45+4'), Laidouni (90+5')
Leite (35'), Haberer (39'), Baumgartl (79'), Roussillon (86'), Becker (87')
Jan 21, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 16
Union Berlin
3-1
Hoffenheim
Doekhi (73', 89'), Leweling (90+6')
Bebou (43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern25194274235161
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen25158255302553
3Mainz 05Mainz25135742261644
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt25126751391242
5Freiburg2512583436-241
6RB Leipzig2510963933639
7Wolfsburg25108749391038
8Stuttgart2510784439537
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach25114103938137
10Borussia DortmundDortmund25105104539635
11Augsburg259882835-735
12Werder Bremen2596103849-1133
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2576122337-1427
14Hoffenheim2568113247-1526
15St Pauli2564151930-1122
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum2546152550-2518
17Holstein Kiel2545163761-2417
18Heidenheim2544172851-2316


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