DFB-Pokal | Second Round
Oct 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Mewa Arena
Mainz0 - 4Bayern
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mainz 1-1 Borussia M'bach
Friday, October 25 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Friday, October 25 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Goals
for
for
12
Last Game: VfL Bochum 0-5 Bayern
Sunday, October 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Sunday, October 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Mainz 05 1-3 Bayern Munich
Bayern are in mixed form of late and it would not be surprising if they were to concede first on Wednesday. However, given the sheer depth of the Bavarians' forward line, it is difficult to see how Mainz would be able to hold onto a lead. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 53.36%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 25.71% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.52%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Bayern Munich |
25.71% ( -1.81) | 20.93% ( -0.14) | 53.36% ( 1.95) |
| Both teams to score 66.73% ( -1.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
