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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 75.56%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 9.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.07%) and 1-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.25%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 0-1 (2.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
RB Leipzig | Draw | Mainz 05 |
75.56% (![]() | 15.33% (![]() | 9.12% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.62% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.24% (![]() | 36.76% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.08% (![]() | 58.92% (![]() |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.84% (![]() | 8.16% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.39% (![]() | 28.61% (![]() |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.94% (![]() | 47.06% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.47% (![]() | 82.53% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
RB Leipzig | Draw | Mainz 05 |
2-0 @ 12.05% (![]() 3-0 @ 10.07% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 9.62% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.09% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.59% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 6.31% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.76% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 3.16% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.86% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.38% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.79% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.32% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1% Other @ 3.54% Total : 75.55% | 1-1 @ 7.25% (![]() 0-0 @ 3.84% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.43% ( ![]() Other @ 0.81% Total : 15.33% | 0-1 @ 2.89% (![]() 1-2 @ 2.73% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.09% ( ![]() Other @ 2.4% Total : 9.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 25 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 74 | 23 | 51 | 61 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 53 |
3 | Mainz 05Mainz | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 44 |
4 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 42 |
5 | Freiburg | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 41 |
6 | RB Leipzig | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 39 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 38 |
8 | Stuttgart | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 37 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 37 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 35 |
11 | Augsburg | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 35 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 27 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 26 |
15 | St Pauli | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 22 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 18 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 17 |
18 | Heidenheim | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 28 | 51 | -23 | 16 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |