Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 27

Mar 30, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Trainingszentrum RB Leipzig Platz 1

RB Leipzig
0 - 0
Mainz

Lukeba (67'), Simons (86')

Caci (20'), Mwene (27'), Amiri (34'), Barreiro (70'), Hanche-Olsen (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: FC Koln 1-5 RB Leipzig
Friday, March 15 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Mainz 05

All competitions

Last Game: Mainz 2-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, March 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: RB Leipzig 4-1 Mainz 05

Leipzig have shown little mercy to the sides struggling at the bottom in recent weeks, and a similar story could play out this weekend against another. The 8-1 loss at Bayern three weeks ago will still linger in the memory despite the win over Bochum that followed, and Mainz will just hope they do not suffer the same fate this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 75.56%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 9.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.07%) and 1-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.25%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 0-1 (2.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Mainz 05
75.56% ( 0.02)	15.33% ( -0.01)	9.12% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 48.62% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.24% (

-0.02)

36.76% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.08% (

-0.02)

58.92% (

0.02)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.84% (

-0)

8.16% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.39% (

-0)

28.61% (

-0)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.94% (

-0.05)

47.06% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.47% (

-0.04)

82.53% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 75.55%

Mainz 05 9.12%

Draw 15.33%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Mainz 05
2-0 @ 12.05% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 10.07% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.59% ( -0) 4-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.76% ( -0) 5-0 @ 3.16% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.38% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.32% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1% Other @ 3.54% Total : 75.55%	1-1 @ 7.25% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.84% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.81% Total : 15.33%	0-1 @ 2.89% ( -0) 1-2 @ 2.73% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 9.12%