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Schalke
Bundesliga | Gameweek 28
Apr 14, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Veltins-Arena
Hertha Berlin logo

Schalke
5 - 2
Hertha Berlin

Skarke (3'), Bulter (13', 78'), Terodde (48'), Kaminski (90+2')
Krauss (86'), Jenz (87')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Jovetic (45+3'), Richter (84')
Boateng (40'), Ngankam (70'), Uremovic (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Schalke 04 and Hertha Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hoffenheim 2-0 Schalke
Sunday, April 9 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 0-1 RB Leipzig
Saturday, April 8 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Schalke 04 1-1 Hertha Berlin

Neither team are likely to play to their full capabilities on Friday given their recent defeats and the amount at stake in this relegation battle, and we can envisage both sides aiming to keep themselves in the mix by playing out a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 36.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Schalke 04 would win this match.

Result
Schalke 04DrawHertha Berlin
37.95% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 25.38% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 36.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.4% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.59% (0.015000000000001 0.02)47.4% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.38% (0.012 0.01)69.62% (-0.012 -0.01)
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.45% (0.0040000000000049 0)24.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.97% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)59.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.75% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)25.25% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40% (0.014000000000003 0.01)60% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Schalke 04 37.95%
    Hertha Berlin 36.67%
    Draw 25.38%
Schalke 04DrawHertha Berlin
1-0 @ 8.71% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-1 @ 8.41%
2-0 @ 6.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.94%
3-0 @ 2.86%
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.38%
4-0 @ 1.01%
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 37.95%
1-1 @ 11.98%
0-0 @ 6.2% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 8.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 8.25% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 5.87% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 3.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.66% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.3% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 36.67%

How you voted: Schalke vs Hertha Berlin

Schalke 04
45.7%
Draw
32.9%
Hertha Berlin
21.4%
70
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2022 4.30pm
May 12, 2021 5pm
Schalke
1-2
Hertha Berlin
Harit (6')
Harit (43'), Mustafi (54'), Kolasinac (68')
Boyata (19'), Ngankam (74')
Darida (50'), Lukebakio (67'), Boyata (68'), Michelbrink (90+1')
Lukebakio (89')
Jan 2, 2021 5.30pm
Hertha Berlin
3-0
Schalke
Guendouzi (36'), Cordoba (52'), Piatek (80')
Tousart (14'), Guendouzi (51')

Hoppe (37'), Mascarell (58')
Feb 4, 2020 7.45pm
Round of 16
Schalke
3-2
Hertha Berlin
Caligiuri (76'), Harit (82'), Raman (115')
Harit (64'), Raman (80'), Miranda (105'), Oczipka (111')
Nubel (102')
Kopke (12'), Piatek (39')
Torunarigha (85'), Ciljan Skjelbred (103')
Torunarigha (100')
Jan 31, 2020 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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