Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 28

Apr 14, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Veltins-Arena

Schalke
5 - 2
Hertha Berlin

Skarke (3'), Bulter (13', 78'), Terodde (48'), Kaminski (90+2')
Krauss (86'), Jenz (87')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Jovetic (45+3'), Richter (84')
Boateng (40'), Ngankam (70'), Uremovic (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Schalke 04 and Hertha Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Schalke 04

All competitions

Last Game: Hoffenheim 2-0 Schalke
Sunday, April 9 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hertha Berlin

All competitions

Last Game: Hertha Berlin 0-1 RB Leipzig
Saturday, April 8 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Schalke 04 1-1 Hertha Berlin

Neither team are likely to play to their full capabilities on Friday given their recent defeats and the amount at stake in this relegation battle, and we can envisage both sides aiming to keep themselves in the mix by playing out a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 36.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Schalke 04 would win this match.

Result
Schalke 04	Draw	Hertha Berlin
37.95% ( -0)	25.38% ( -0)	36.67% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 56.4% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.59% (

0.02)

47.4% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.38% (

0.01)

69.62% (

-0.01)

Schalke 04 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.45% (

24.55% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.97% (

0.01)

59.03% (

-0.01)

Hertha Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.75% (

0.01)

25.25% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40% (

0.01)

60% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Schalke 04 37.95%

Hertha Berlin 36.67%

Draw 25.38%

Schalke 04	Draw	Hertha Berlin
1-0 @ 8.71% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.41% 2-0 @ 6.11% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.94% 3-0 @ 2.86% 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.38% 4-0 @ 1.01% 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 1.86% Total : 37.95%	1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 6.2% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.38%	0-1 @ 8.53% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.25% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.87% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.78% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.69% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 1.75% Total : 36.67%