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Bundesliga
Schalke
Bundesliga | Gameweek 28
Apr 14, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Veltins-Arena
Hertha Berlin logo

Schalke
5 - 2
Hertha Berlin

Skarke (3'), Bulter (13', 78'), Terodde (48'), Kaminski (90+2')
Krauss (86'), Jenz (87')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Jovetic (45+3'), Richter (84')
Boateng (40'), Ngankam (70'), Uremovic (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Schalke 04 and Hertha Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Schalke 04

All competitions
Last Game: Hoffenheim 2-0 Schalke
Sunday, April 9 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

Hertha Berlin

All competitions
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 0-1 RB Leipzig
Saturday, April 8 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Schalke 04 1-1 Hertha Berlin

 Neither team are likely to play to their full capabilities on Friday given their recent defeats and the amount at stake in this relegation battle, and we can envisage both sides aiming to keep themselves in the mix by playing out a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 36.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Schalke 04 would win this match.

Result
Schalke 04DrawHertha Berlin
37.95% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 25.38% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 36.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.4% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.59% (0.015000000000001 0.02)47.4% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.38% (0.012 0.01)69.62% (-0.012 -0.01)
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.45% (0.0040000000000049 0)24.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.97% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)59.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.75% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)25.25% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40% (0.014000000000003 0.01)60% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Schalke 04 37.95%
    Hertha Berlin 36.67%
    Draw 25.38%
Schalke 04DrawHertha Berlin
1-0 @ 8.71% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-1 @ 8.41%
2-0 @ 6.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.94%
3-0 @ 2.86%
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.38%
4-0 @ 1.01%
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 37.95%
1-1 @ 11.98%
0-0 @ 6.2% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 8.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 8.25% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 5.87% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 3.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.66% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.3% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 36.67%

How you voted: Schalke vs Hertha Berlin

Schalke 04
45.7%
Draw
32.9%
Hertha Berlin
21.4%
70
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2022 4.30pm
Hertha Berlin
2-1
Schalke
Tousart (49'), Kanga (88')
Kanga (75')
Mollet (85')
May 12, 2021 5pm
Schalke
1-2
Hertha Berlin
Harit (6')
Harit (43'), Mustafi (54'), Kolasinac (68')
Boyata (19'), Ngankam (74')
Darida (50'), Lukebakio (67'), Boyata (68'), Michelbrink (90+1')
Lukebakio (89')
Jan 2, 2021 5.30pm
Hertha Berlin
3-0
Schalke
Guendouzi (36'), Cordoba (52'), Piatek (80')
Tousart (14'), Guendouzi (51')

Hoppe (37'), Mascarell (58')
Feb 4, 2020 7.45pm
Round of 16
Schalke
3-2
Hertha Berlin
Caligiuri (76'), Harit (82'), Raman (115')
Harit (64'), Raman (80'), Miranda (105'), Oczipka (111')
Nubel (102')
Kopke (12'), Piatek (39')
Torunarigha (85'), Ciljan Skjelbred (103')
Torunarigha (100')
Jan 31, 2020 7.30pm
Hertha Berlin
0-0
Schalke

Mittelstadt (91')

Oczipka (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern25194274235161
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen25158255302553
3Mainz 05Mainz25135742261644
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt25126751391242
5Freiburg2512583436-241
6RB Leipzig2510963933639
7Wolfsburg25108749391038
8Stuttgart2510784439537
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach25114103938137
10Borussia DortmundDortmund25105104539635
11Augsburg259882835-735
12Werder Bremen2596103849-1133
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2576122337-1427
14Hoffenheim2568113247-1526
15St Pauli2564151930-1122
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum2546152550-2518
17Holstein Kiel2545163761-2417
18Heidenheim2544172851-2316
> Bundesliga Full Table


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