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Bundesliga | Gameweek 26
Apr 1, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
Hertha Berlin logo

Freiburg
1 - 1
Hertha Berlin

Grifo (52')
Gulde (28')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ngankam (77')
Ngankam (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Hertha Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 1-1 Freiburg
Sunday, March 19 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-1 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, March 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Freiburg 3-1 Hertha Berlin

Even without Gregoritsch's towering presence and goalscoring touch in attack, we expect Freiburg to have too much quality for Hertha, who have been wretched on the road all season long. Whether Streich utilises a 3-4-3 or 4-2-3-1 formation is unlikely to matter too much, as his players are comfortable within either system, while their overall goal of a top-four finish looks set to drive them on between now and the end of the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 61.03%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 18.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 1-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
FreiburgDrawHertha Berlin
61.03% (0.026000000000003 0.03) 20.76% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 18.2% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.97% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.46% (0.033000000000001 0.03)40.53% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.08% (0.033000000000001 0.03)62.91% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.16% (0.019000000000005 0.02)12.83% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.82% (0.037999999999997 0.04)39.18% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.21% (0.0040000000000049 0)35.79% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.43% (0.0040000000000013 0)72.56% (-0.005999999999986 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 61.03%
    Hertha Berlin 18.2%
    Draw 20.76%
FreiburgDrawHertha Berlin
2-1 @ 9.95%
2-0 @ 9.68% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 9.43% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.81% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 6.63% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.49% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 3.4% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.8% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.4% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 61.03%
1-1 @ 9.69% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.11% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 4.59% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.76%
1-2 @ 4.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 4.72% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.71% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 18.2%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Hertha Berlin

Freiburg
95.8%
Draw
4.2%
Hertha Berlin
0.0%
48
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2022 4.30pm
Hertha Berlin
2-2
Freiburg
Lukebakio (34' pen.), Serdar (61')
Rogel (43')
Kyereh (22'), Schade (78')
Feb 26, 2022 2.30pm
Freiburg
3-0
Hertha Berlin
Grifo (12' pen.), Schade (83'), Holer (86')
Hofler (21')

Jovetic (24'), Andre Bjorkan (74')
Oct 2, 2021 2.30pm
Hertha Berlin
1-2
Freiburg
Piatek (70')
Boateng (29'), Serdar (69'), Jastrzembski (90+4')
Lienhart (17'), Petersen (78')
May 6, 2021 5.30pm
Hertha Berlin
3-0
Freiburg
Piatek (13'), Pekarik (22'), Radonjic (85')
Alderete (20'), Guendouzi (38'), Torunarigha (64'), Darida (69')

Hofler (36'), Demirovic (42'), Sallai (80')
Dec 20, 2020 2.30pm
Freiburg
4-1
Hertha Berlin
Grifo (7'), Demirovic (59'), Gulde (67'), Petersen (90+4' pen.)
Lukebakio (52')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Werder Bremen157442625125
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
8Freiburg157352124-324
9Stuttgart156542925423
10Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
11Wolfsburg146353125621
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226


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