Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 26

Apr 1, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Mage-Solar-Stadion

Freiburg
1 - 1
Hertha Berlin

Grifo (52')
Gulde (28')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ngankam (77')
Ngankam (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Hertha Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Mainz 1-1 Freiburg
Sunday, March 19 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hertha Berlin

All competitions

Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-1 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, March 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Freiburg 3-1 Hertha Berlin

Even without Gregoritsch's towering presence and goalscoring touch in attack, we expect Freiburg to have too much quality for Hertha, who have been wretched on the road all season long. Whether Streich utilises a 3-4-3 or 4-2-3-1 formation is unlikely to matter too much, as his players are comfortable within either system, while their overall goal of a top-four finish looks set to drive them on between now and the end of the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 61.03%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 18.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 1-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	Hertha Berlin
61.03% ( 0.03)	20.76% ( -0.01)	18.2% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 55.97% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.46% (

0.03)

40.53% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.08% (

0.03)

62.91% (

-0.03)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.16% (

0.02)

12.83% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.82% (

0.04)

39.18% (

-0.04)

Hertha Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.21% (

35.79% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.43% (

72.56% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Freiburg 61.03%

Hertha Berlin 18.2%

Draw 20.76%

Freiburg	Draw	Hertha Berlin
2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.68% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.81% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.63% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.5% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.49% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.4% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.8% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.44% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.4% ( 0) Other @ 3.52% Total : 61.03%	1-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.76%	1-2 @ 4.98% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.43% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 18.2%