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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 61.03%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 18.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 1-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Freiburg | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
61.03% ( 0.03) | 20.76% ( -0.01) | 18.2% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 55.97% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.46% ( 0.03) | 40.53% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.08% ( 0.03) | 62.91% ( -0.03) |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.16% ( 0.02) | 12.83% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.82% ( 0.04) | 39.18% ( -0.04) |
Hertha Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.21% ( 0) | 35.79% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.43% ( 0) | 72.56% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Freiburg | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.68% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.81% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.63% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.5% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.49% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.4% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.8% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.44% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.4% ( 0) Other @ 3.52% Total : 61.03% | 1-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.76% | 1-2 @ 4.98% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.43% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 18.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 32 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Freiburg | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 24 |
9 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 35 | -22 | 6 |
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