Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 23

Mar 5, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
4 - 1
Hertha Berlin

Azmoun (12'), Frimpong (21'), Diaby (60'), Adli (73')
Tah (75')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Lukebakio (67' pen.)
Ngankam (75'), Kenny (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Hertha Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 B. Leverkusen
Sunday, February 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hertha Berlin

All competitions

Last Game: Hertha Berlin 2-0 Augsburg
Saturday, February 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 Hertha Berlin

Although Hertha have considerably improved in recent weeks, their away form remains extremely poor, and we expect Leverkusen to return to winning ways in the Bundesliga as a result. Alonso will hope for a dominant first-half performance in order to allow him to rest players before hosting Ferencvaros in the Europa League on Thursday, but the visitors are unlikely to make things that easy for the Spaniard and his side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 63.99%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 16.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Hertha Berlin
63.99% ( -0.04)	19.84% ( 0)	16.17% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 54.82% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.04% (

0.03)

39.96% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.68% (

0.03)

62.32% (

-0.03)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.17% (

-0)

11.82% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.92% (

-0)

37.07%

Hertha Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.18% (

0.06)

37.82% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.41% (

0.05)

74.59% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 63.99%

Hertha Berlin 16.17%

Draw 19.84%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Hertha Berlin
2-0 @ 10.19% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.91% 1-0 @ 9.55% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.05% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.76% 3-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.83% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.65% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.61% Other @ 3.88% Total : 63.99%	1-1 @ 9.28% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 19.84%	1-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.35% 0-2 @ 2.11% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.17% Total : 16.17%