Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 25

Mar 18, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Rhein-Neckar-Arena

Hoffenheim
3 - 1
Hertha Berlin

Kramaric (24' pen., 37' pen.), Bebou (51')
Dabour (71')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Jovetic (90+2')
Richter (27'), Ngankam (78'), Mittelstadt (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Hertha Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions

Last Game: Freiburg 2-1 Hoffenheim
Sunday, March 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hertha Berlin

All competitions

Last Game: Hertha Berlin 1-1 Mainz
Saturday, March 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Hoffenheim 2-1 Hertha Berlin

There has never been a 0-0 result between these teams in 25 Bundesliga meetings to date, and both have leaked goals at an alarming rate this season. That points to either side conceding at least once on Saturday, when Hoffenheim can finally end their dismal run without a win and surpass Hertha in the standings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 52.34%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 24.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
Hoffenheim	Draw	Hertha Berlin
52.34% ( 0.5)	23.07%	24.59% ( -0.5)

Both teams to score 57.68% (

-0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.23% (

-0.48)

42.77% (

0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.82% (

-0.48)

65.17% (

0.48)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.62% (

16.37% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54% (

0.01)

46% (

-0.01)

Hertha Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.97% (

-0.67)

31.03% (

0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.66% (

-0.79)

67.34% (

0.78)

Score Analysis

Hoffenheim 52.34%

Hertha Berlin 24.59%

Draw 23.06%

Hoffenheim	Draw	Hertha Berlin
2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.66% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 3.33% Total : 52.34%	1-1 @ 10.75% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.06%	1-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 5.95% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.83% Total : 24.59%