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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 2-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
Result | ||
Schalke 04 | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
29.94% (![]() | 23.89% (![]() | 46.16% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.44% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.49% (![]() | 42.5% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.09% (![]() | 64.91% (![]() |
Schalke 04 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.03% (![]() | 26.96% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.69% (![]() | 62.3% (![]() |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.38% (![]() | 18.62% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.08% (![]() | 49.92% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Schalke 04 | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
2-1 @ 7.25% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.58% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.31% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.17% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.66% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.88% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 3.05% Total : 29.94% | 1-1 @ 11.06% 2-2 @ 6.09% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.02% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.49% ( ![]() Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.89% | 1-2 @ 9.3% (![]() 0-1 @ 8.44% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.09% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.21% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.98% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.41% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.19% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.67% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.44% ( ![]() Other @ 3.44% Total : 46.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 22 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 65 | 19 | 46 | 55 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 22 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 47 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 46 | 28 | 18 | 39 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 37 |
5 | Freiburg | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 36 |
6 | Stuttgart | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 40 | 33 | 7 | 35 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 34 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 33 |
9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 32 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 30 |
11 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 29 |
12 | Augsburg | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 28 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 24 |
14 | St Pauli | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 21 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 26 | 44 | -18 | 18 |
16 | Heidenheim | 21 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 14 |
17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 21 | 46 | -25 | 14 |
18 | Holstein Kiel | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 33 | 54 | -21 | 13 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |